Football · Argentina Nacional B · 08/08, 22:00
Prediction: Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago
Team pages: Gimnasia y Tiro · Nueva Chicago
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
Gimnasia y Tiro1.12
Nueva Chicago0.76
1X2
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw
Nueva Chicago
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia y Tiro
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Nueva Chicago
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia y Tiro
1–2
Nueva Chicago
(3 last)
- Nueva Chicago3-1Gimnasia y Tiro
- Nueva Chicago2-0Gimnasia y Tiro
- Gimnasia y Tiro2-0Nueva Chicago
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia y Tiro 1545 · Nueva Chicago 1491
| Gimnasia y Tiro | Draw | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.88 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia y Tiro (rating 1545 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Nueva Chicago: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia y Tiro | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.9 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia y Tiro 1–0–2 Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 22/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 05/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Nueva Chicago |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 37 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 34 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 32 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 31 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 31 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 29 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 29 |
| 12 | Almagro | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 14 | Chacarita Juniors | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 23 | 26 |
| 15 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 36 | 19 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia y Tiro | Nueva Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Temperley | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia y Tiro (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia y Tiro win (43%). Probabilities: Gimnasia y Tiro 43%, draw 33%, Nueva Chicago 24%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago?
The model expects 1.88 goals (Gimnasia y Tiro 1.12 · Nueva Chicago 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.