Football · Italy Serie B · 19/09, 15:00
Prediction: Palermo vs Padova
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Palermo1.76
Padova0.83
1X2
Palermo
Draw
Padova
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Palermo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Padova
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Palermo
5–1–0
Padova
(6 last)
- Padova0-1Palermo
- Palermo1-0Padova
- Palermo1-0Padova
- Padova0-1Palermo
- Palermo1-1Padova
- Padova1-3Palermo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palermo (rating 1579 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Palermo: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palermo | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palermo 5–1–0 Padova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Italy Serie B | Padova | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Palermo |
| 27/12/25 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Padova |
| 12/06/22 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Palermo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Padova |
| 05/06/22 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Padova | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Palermo |
| 22/04/19 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Padova |
| 08/12/18 Italy Serie B | Padova | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Palermo |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Mantova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Padova | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Avellino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Cesena | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Empoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 12 | Vicenza | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Benevento | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Catanzaro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Palermo | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| AC Reggiana | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Cesena | 2-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palermo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Padova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Verona Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palermo vs Padova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Palermo win (58%). Probabilities: Palermo 58%, draw 25%, Padova 16%.
How many goals are expected in Palermo vs Padova?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Palermo 1.76 · Padova 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Palermo vs Padova?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.