Football · Panama Liga Prom · 25/07, 01:00

Prediction: Potros Del Este vs Plaza Amador Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

Potros Del Este1.2

Plaza Amador Reserves2.92

1X2

12% 16% 72%

Potros Del Este Draw Plaza Amador Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Potros Del Este 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLLDL

Plaza Amador Reserves 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDDD

Head-to-head

Potros Del Este 1–3 Plaza Amador Reserves (4 last)

Plaza Amador Reserves4-1Potros Del Este
Potros Del Este1-6Plaza Amador Reserves
Potros Del Este2-1Plaza Amador Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Potros Del Este 1387 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1577

	Potros Del Este	Draw	Plaza Amador Reserves
Our model	12%	16%	72%
Market	12%	16%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador Reserves (rating 1387 vs 1577).
H2H favours Plaza Amador Reserves: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Potros Del Este	Plaza Amador Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.9	2.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/33/56%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.6	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

17.50

X5.50

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)2.00

2 (-1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +1’	7.50	5.50	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Potros Del Este 1–0–3 Plaza Amador Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	4-1 HT 2-0	Potros Del Este
23/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	1-6 HT 1-0	Plaza Amador Reserves
30/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	2-1 HT 2-0	Plaza Amador Reserves
08/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	2-1 HT 0-0	Potros Del Este

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Potros Del Este	Plaza Amador Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves	0-4 L	4-1 W
San Martin FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Alianza FC Reserves	1-2 L	1-1 D
Chorrillo	0-4 L	4-0 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 L	4-4 D
Academia Costa Del Este	3-5 L	1-1 D
Champions FC Academy	3-4 L	6-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador Reserves (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Potros Del Este

LLLDLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
26/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
17/04	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	8	4	L
10/04	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-4	6	3	L
02/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-4	8	4	L
28/03	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	0	5	L
20/03	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	2	10	D
15/03	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-2	1	6	L
07/03	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-4	3-5	1	7	L
28/02	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	–	3-4	–	–	L

Plaza Amador Reserves

LWWWWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D
09/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
05/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
29/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
24/04	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
16/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-0	4-0	1	6	W
10/04	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	2-0	4-1	7	3	W
04/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	4-1	9	1	W
27/03	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	–	6-0	–	–	W
22/03	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Potros Del Este vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Amador Reserves win (72%). Probabilities: Potros Del Este 12%, draw 16%, Plaza Amador Reserves 72%.

How many goals are expected in Potros Del Este vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model expects 4.12 goals (Potros Del Este 1.2 · Plaza Amador Reserves 2.92), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Potros Del Este vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.