Football · Panama Liga Prom · 24/07, 22:00

Prediction: Chorrillo vs Tauro FC Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Chorrillo1.22
Tauro FC Reserves1.83
1X2
25% 24% 51%
Chorrillo Draw Tauro FC Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chorrillo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WDLLLWLLLL
Tauro FC Reserves 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLLDWW
Head-to-head
Chorrillo 0–3–3 Tauro FC Reserves (6 last)
  • Chorrillo0-4Tauro FC Reserves
  • Tauro FC Reserves0-0Chorrillo
  • Tauro FC Reserves2-1Chorrillo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chorrillo 1414 · Tauro FC Reserves 1477
ChorrilloDrawTauro FC Reserves
Our model24%25%51%
Market25%24%51%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tauro FC Reserves (rating 1414 vs 1477).
  • H2H favours Tauro FC Reserves: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ChorrilloTauro FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.91.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 1.60.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/25/75%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.61.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.54.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chorrillo 033 Tauro FC Reserves

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/04/26
Panama Liga Prom
Chorrillo0-4
HT 0-4
Tauro FC Reserves
08/02/26
Panama Liga Prom
Tauro FC Reserves0-0Chorrillo
29/10/25
Panama Liga Prom
Tauro FC Reserves2-1
HT 1-0
Chorrillo
07/08/25
Panama Liga Prom
Chorrillo1-1
HT 0-1
Tauro FC Reserves
05/05/25
Panama Liga Prom
Chorrillo0-6
HT 0-4
Tauro FC Reserves
06/02/25
Panama Liga Prom
Tauro FC Reserves3-3
HT 2-2
Chorrillo

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChorrilloTauro FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves 0-2 L 1-2 L
Plaza Amador Reserves 0-4 L 1-4 L
San Martin FC 0-3 L 0-0 D
Potros Del Este 4-0 W 4-0 W
Academia Costa Del Este 0-7 L 0-2 L
Champions FC Academy 3-4 L 1-2 L
Panama City FC 1-1 D 1-3 L
UMECIT Reserves 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC Reserves (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chorrillo

WDLLLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/04 Alianza FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-2 67 L
23/04 Tauro FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-4 0-4 46 L
16/04 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 0-4 36 L
10/04 San Martin FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-3 59 L
02/04 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 4-0 24 W
28/03 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 1-4 52 L
20/03 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 0-7 37 L
14/03 Champions FC Academy
Panama Liga Prom
3-4 L
06/03 Panama City FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-1 13 D
28/02 UMECIT Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 W

Tauro FC Reserves

LWLLLLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/04 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 4-0 05 W
23/04 Chorrillo
Panama Liga Prom
4-0 4-0 36 W
19/04 San Martin FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-0 85 D
09/04 Alianza FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-2 85 L
04/04 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-4 11 L
28/03 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-2 13 L
21/03 Champions FC Academy
Panama Liga Prom
1-2 L
15/03 Panama City FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-3 14 L
08/03 UMECIT Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 2-1 58 W
26/02 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-3 94 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chorrillo vs Tauro FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tauro FC Reserves win (51%). Probabilities: Chorrillo 25%, draw 24%, Tauro FC Reserves 51%.

How many goals are expected in Chorrillo vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Chorrillo 1.22 · Tauro FC Reserves 1.83), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chorrillo vs Tauro FC Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.