Football · Malaysia Super League · 17/10, 11:00

Prediction: Negeri Sembilan vs Sabah FC

Team pages: Negeri Sembilan · Sabah FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Negeri Sembilan1.58

Sabah FC1.32

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Negeri Sembilan Draw Sabah FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Negeri Sembilan 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDWWLDL

Sabah FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Negeri Sembilan 1–2–3 Sabah FC (6 last)

Sabah FC1-1Negeri Sembilan
Negeri Sembilan3-0Sabah FC
Negeri Sembilan1-2Sabah FC
Sabah FC2-0Negeri Sembilan
Sabah FC3-1Negeri Sembilan
Negeri Sembilan1-1Sabah FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Negeri Sembilan 1511 · Sabah FC 1479

	Negeri Sembilan	Draw	Sabah FC
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sabah FC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Negeri Sembilan	Sabah FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.3	3.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:31 +3’	2.05	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Negeri Sembilan 1–2–3 Sabah FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Malaysia Super League	Sabah FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Negeri Sembilan
27/09/25 Malaysia Super League	Negeri Sembilan	3-0 HT 2-0	Sabah FC
25/01/25 Malaysia Super League	Negeri Sembilan	1-2 HT 0-1	Sabah FC
25/07/24 Malaysia Super League	Sabah FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Negeri Sembilan
26/08/23 Malaysia Super League	Sabah FC	3-1 HT 3-0	Negeri Sembilan
10/04/23 Malaysia Super League	Negeri Sembilan	1-1 HT 1-0	Sabah FC

Standings · Malaysia Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Johor Darul Takzim	5	5	0	0	25	0	15
2	Kuching City FC	5	4	0	1	15	4	12
3	Selangor	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
4	Sabah FC	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
5	DPMM FC	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
6	Kuala Lumpur City	5	2	0	3	4	13	6
7	Terengganu	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
8	Negeri Sembilan	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
9	Pulau Pinang	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
10	Melaka FC	4	1	0	3	5	9	3
11	Star City	4	0	2	2	4	13	2
12	Kelantan Red Warrior	5	0	0	5	4	24	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Negeri Sembilan	Sabah FC
Melaka FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Terengganu	2-2 D	0-1 L
DPMM FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
PDRM	6-1 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Negeri Sembilan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Negeri Sembilan

WDDDDWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
05/09	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
30/08	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	–	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
03/05	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/04	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-2	2-2	2	4	D
12/04	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
13/03	PDRM Malaysia Super League	3-1	6-1	7	2	W

Sabah FC

DLDWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
05/09	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
28/08	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-0	10	3	W
24/08	Star City Malaysia Super League	1-1	3-1	10	5	W
15/05	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
09/05	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	11	5	W
02/05	PDRM Malaysia Super League	3-0	5-1	5	2	W
26/04	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/04	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
11/04	Selangor Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-1	0	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Negeri Sembilan vs Sabah FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Negeri Sembilan win (43%). Probabilities: Negeri Sembilan 43%, draw 26%, Sabah FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Negeri Sembilan vs Sabah FC?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Negeri Sembilan 1.58 · Sabah FC 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Negeri Sembilan vs Sabah FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.