Football · Malaysia Super League · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Melaka FC vs Kuala Lumpur City

Team pages: Melaka FC · Kuala Lumpur City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Melaka FC1.28

Kuala Lumpur City1.45

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Melaka FC Draw Kuala Lumpur City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Melaka FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLDLWLL

Kuala Lumpur City 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Melaka FC 0–2 Kuala Lumpur City (2 last)

Kuala Lumpur City2-1Melaka FC
Melaka FC0-3Kuala Lumpur City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melaka FC 1426 · Kuala Lumpur City 1488

	Melaka FC	Draw	Kuala Lumpur City
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kuala Lumpur City (rating 1426 vs 1488).
H2H favours Kuala Lumpur City: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Melaka FC	Kuala Lumpur City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.7	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.4	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:25 +10’	2.70	3.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Melaka FC 0–0–2 Kuala Lumpur City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Malaysia Super League	Kuala Lumpur City	2-1 HT 1-0	Melaka FC
30/11/25 Malaysia Super League	Melaka FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Kuala Lumpur City

Standings · Malaysia Super League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Johor Darul Takzim	5	5	0	0	25	0	15
2	Kuching City FC	5	4	0	1	15	4	12
3	Selangor	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
4	Sabah FC	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
5	DPMM FC	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
6	Kuala Lumpur City	5	2	0	3	4	13	6
7	Terengganu	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
8	Negeri Sembilan	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
9	Pulau Pinang	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
10	Melaka FC	4	1	0	3	5	9	3
11	Star City	4	0	2	2	4	13	2
12	Kelantan Red Warrior	5	0	0	5	4	24	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Melaka FC	Kuala Lumpur City
Kuching City FC	1-2 L	0-6 L
Selangor	2-3 L	0-3 L
Negeri Sembilan	2-1 W	0-3 L
Johor Darul Takzim	1-2 L	0-7 L
Kelantan The Real Warriors	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Melaka FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melaka FC

WWLDLDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
06/09	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-1	2-3	3	4	L
30/08	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
22/08	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
16/05	Star City Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
09/05	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	1-3	2	2	L
03/05	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
28/04	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	0-2	1-2	3	2	L
23/04	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
15/03	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	1-1	2-1	9	4	W

Kuala Lumpur City

LWLDLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
04/09	Kelantan Red Warrior Malaysia Super League	0-1	3-1	4	5	W
29/08	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
26/08	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
22/08	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
10/05	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
02/05	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-7	1	3	L
10/04	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
15/03	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-1	2-3	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melaka FC vs Kuala Lumpur City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kuala Lumpur City win (40%). Probabilities: Melaka FC 33%, draw 27%, Kuala Lumpur City 40%.

How many goals are expected in Melaka FC vs Kuala Lumpur City?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Melaka FC 1.28 · Kuala Lumpur City 1.45), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Melaka FC vs Kuala Lumpur City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.