Football · Republic of Ireland FAI Cup · 14/08, 20:45
Prediction: Galway United vs Bray Wanderers
Team pages: Galway United · Bray Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Galway United1.79
Bray Wanderers0.98
1X2
Galway United
Draw
Bray Wanderers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Galway United
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Bray Wanderers
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Galway United
4–1–1
Bray Wanderers
(6 last)
- Bray Wanderers1-4Galway United
- Galway United3-0Bray Wanderers
- Bray Wanderers1-1Galway United
- Galway United6-0Bray Wanderers
- Galway United1-2Bray Wanderers
- Bray Wanderers1-5Galway United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Galway United 1498 · Bray Wanderers 1539
| Galway United | Draw | Bray Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1498 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Galway United: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Galway United | Bray Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway United 4–1–1 Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Galway United |
| 28/07/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Galway United | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Bray Wanderers |
| 02/06/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Galway United |
| 14/04/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Galway United | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Bray Wanderers |
| 19/08/22 Republic of Ireland First Division | Galway United | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Bray Wanderers |
| 17/06/22 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Galway United |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Galway United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 17/07 | Crumlin United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 31/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/06 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 5-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Galway United vs Bray Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Galway United win (56%). Probabilities: Galway United 56%, draw 24%, Bray Wanderers 20%.
How many goals are expected in Galway United vs Bray Wanderers?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Galway United 1.79 · Bray Wanderers 0.98), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Galway United vs Bray Wanderers?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.