Football · Republic of Ireland FAI Cup · 14/08, 20:45
Prediction: Waterford FC vs Athlone Town
Team pages: Waterford FC · Athlone Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Waterford FC1.9
Athlone Town0.87
1X2
Waterford FC
Draw
Athlone Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Waterford FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Athlone Town
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Waterford FC
2–3–1
Athlone Town
(6 last)
- Waterford FC1-1Athlone Town
- Waterford FC3-1Athlone Town
- Athlone Town1-1Waterford FC
- Waterford FC1-2Athlone Town
- Athlone Town1-1Waterford FC
- Waterford FC4-3Athlone Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Waterford FC 1558 · Athlone Town 1493
| Waterford FC | Draw | Athlone Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waterford FC (rating 1558 vs 1493).
- H2H favours Waterford FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Waterford FC | Athlone Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC 2–3–1 Athlone Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/24 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Waterford FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Athlone Town |
| 28/10/23 Republic of Ireland Play-Offs | Waterford FC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Athlone Town |
| 24/10/23 Republic of Ireland Play-Offs | Athlone Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Waterford FC |
| 01/09/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Waterford FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Athlone Town |
| 28/07/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Athlone Town | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Waterford FC |
| 21/04/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Waterford FC | 4-3 HT 4-0 | Athlone Town |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Waterford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 17/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 10/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | D |
Athlone Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Midleton FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 12 | D |
| 19/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Waterford FC vs Athlone Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Waterford FC win (61%). Probabilities: Waterford FC 61%, draw 23%, Athlone Town 16%.
How many goals are expected in Waterford FC vs Athlone Town?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Waterford FC 1.9 · Athlone Town 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Waterford FC vs Athlone Town?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.