Football · Panama Liga Prom · 24/07, 03:00

Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.7
UMECIT Reserves1.35
1X2
45% 25% 30%
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Draw UMECIT Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DDLDWLLLLL
UMECIT Reserves 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 4–1–1 UMECIT Reserves (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1456 · UMECIT Reserves 1495
Sporting San Miguelito ReservesDrawUMECIT Reserves
Our model45%26%30%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sporting San Miguelito ReservesUMECIT Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.42.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 11.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/0/67%33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 51.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.95.8 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 411 UMECIT Reserves

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Panama Liga Prom
UMECIT Reserves5-0
HT 2-0
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
23/01/26
Panama Liga Prom
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-0
HT 0-0
UMECIT Reserves
30/10/25
Panama Liga Prom
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-0
HT 0-0
UMECIT Reserves
10/08/25
Panama Liga Prom
UMECIT Reserves0-2
HT 0-2
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
03/05/25
Panama Liga Prom
UMECIT Reserves0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
06/02/25
Panama Liga Prom
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-1
HT 1-1
UMECIT Reserves

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSporting San Miguelito ReservesUMECIT Reserves
Champions FC Academy 1-2 L 1-3 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1-4 L 2-3 L
Academia Costa Del Este 0-2 L 2-1 W
Panama City FC 0-2 L 2-0 W
Potros Del Este 1-1 D 2-1 W
Alianza FC Reserves 1-2 L 3-2 W
Plaza Amador Reserves 2-2 D 3-3 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 5 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: UMECIT Reserves (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/04 Champions FC Academy
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-2 43 L
25/04 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-3 1-4 25 L
16/04 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-2 210 L
12/04 UMECIT Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 0-5 144 L
02/04 Panama City FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-2 37 L
26/03 San Martin FC
Panama Liga Prom
3-0 5-2 37 W
20/03 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-1 710 D
11/03 Alianza FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-2 34 L
05/03 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 2-2 76 D
04/03 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
2-2 D

UMECIT Reserves

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/05 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
2-1 W
25/04 Panama City FC
Panama Liga Prom
2-0 W
18/04 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 2-3 36 L
12/04 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
2-0 5-0 14 W
02/04 Champions FC Academy
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-3 109 L
28/03 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 2-1 35 W
22/03 Alianza FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
3-2 W
13/03 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 3-3 26 D
08/03 Tauro FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-2 68 L
28/02 Chorrillo
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Miguelito Reserves win (45%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 45%, draw 25%, UMECIT Reserves 30%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.7 · UMECIT Reserves 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.