Prediction: Almagro vs Ferrocarril Midland
Team pages: Almagro · Ferrocarril Midland
- Ferrocarril Midland1-1Almagro
| Almagro | Draw | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 34% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almagro | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almagro 0–1–0 Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferrocarril Midland | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 41 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | CA Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 28 |
| 10 | San Martin SJ | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 20 | 26 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 26 |
| 13 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 23 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 22 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 36 | 19 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almagro | Ferrocarril Midland |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CA Atlanta | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Agropecuario | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferrocarril Midland (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almagro vs Ferrocarril Midland?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferrocarril Midland win (34%). Probabilities: Almagro 33%, draw 33%, Ferrocarril Midland 34%.
How many goals are expected in Almagro vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model expects 2 goals (Almagro 0.99 · Ferrocarril Midland 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almagro vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.