Football · Hungary NB I · 25/07, 17:00

Prediction: MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

MTK Budapest1.52

Zalaegerszegi TE1.52

1X2

37% 26% 37%

MTK Budapest Draw Zalaegerszegi TE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MTK Budapest 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWLLLLWD

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLWDWW

Head-to-head

MTK Budapest 3–3–0 Zalaegerszegi TE (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MTK Budapest 1510 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1506

	MTK Budapest	Draw	Zalaegerszegi TE
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Budapest: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTK Budapest	Zalaegerszegi TE
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.7

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +7’	2.45	3.40	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MTK Budapest 3–3–0 Zalaegerszegi TE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	3-0 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
20/12/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-1 HT 0-1	MTK Budapest
21/09/25 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	1-0 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
08/03/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-1 HT 1-0	MTK Budapest
02/11/24 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	1-1 HT 0-1	Zalaegerszegi TE
26/07/24 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	0-1 HT 0-0	MTK Budapest

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kispest Honved	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Debreceni VSC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyori ETO	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ferencvarosi TC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kisvarda FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MTK Budapest	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paksi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puskas Academy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ujpest	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vasas SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zalaegerszegi TE	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTK Budapest	Zalaegerszegi TE
Puskas Academy	2-2 D	1-3 L
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MTK Budapest (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MTK Budapest

DDWWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	KFC Komarno Club Friendly List	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Kozarmisleny SE Club Friendly List	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
11/07	FC Koper Club Friendly List	1-0	1-3	2	2	L
11/07	LNZ Lebedyn Club Friendly List	0-0	0-4	7	2	L
08/07	NK Celje Club Friendly List	1-1	3-4	1	0	L
04/07	Kecskemeti TE Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
01/07	Vasas SC Club Friendly List	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
26/06	Kazincbarcikai BSC Europe Friendlies	4-1	4-2	–	–	W
15/05	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	4	5	D
02/05	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Zalaegerszegi TE

DLLDLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Konyaspor Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-1	7	6	W
17/07	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
11/07	Slovacko Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-3	4	1	D
04/07	Slaven Belupo Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-2	1	1	W
01/07	FC Ajka Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
16/05	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
09/05	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary Cup	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
01/05	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
25/04	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
21/04	Kispest Honved Hungary Cup	0-1	1-1	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Budapest win (37%). Probabilities: MTK Budapest 37%, draw 26%, Zalaegerszegi TE 37%.

How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

The model expects 3.03 goals (MTK Budapest 1.52 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.