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Football · Hungary NB I · 26/07, 20:00

Prediction: Paksi vs Ferencvarosi TC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Paksi1.36
Ferencvarosi TC1.89
1X2
27% 25% 49%
Paksi Draw Ferencvarosi TC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Paksi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWLWDLWL
Ferencvarosi TC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
LDWWDWDWWW
Head-to-head
Paksi 1–2–3 Ferencvarosi TC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paksi 1534 · Ferencvarosi TC 1603
PaksiDrawFerencvarosi TC
Our model27%24%49%
Market26%25%49%
Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (rating 1534 vs 1603).
  • H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PaksiFerencvarosi TC
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 2.11.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.9 / 1.11 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/0/40%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 72.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 03.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paksi 1–2–3 Ferencvarosi TC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC2-0
HT 1-0
Paksi
01/02/26
Hungary NB I
Paksi0-1
HT 0-0
Ferencvarosi TC
05/10/25
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC2-2
HT 1-1
Paksi
14/05/25
Hungary Cup
Ferencvarosi TC1-1
HT 0-1
Paksi
10/05/25
Hungary NB I
Paksi2-3
HT 1-0
Ferencvarosi TC
16/02/25
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC0-2
HT 0-0
Paksi

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Kispest Honved 000 000
1 Debreceni VSC 000 000
1 Gyori ETO 000 000
1 Ferencvarosi TC 000 000
1 Kisvarda FC 000 000
1 MTK Budapest 000 000
1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 000 000
1 Paksi 000 000
1 Puskas Academy 000 000
1 Ujpest 000 000
1 Vasas SC 000 000
1 Zalaegerszegi TE 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paksi

WWDWLWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 FK Austria Vienna
Europe Friendlies
 0-1 1-4 21 L
16/07 Slaven Belupo
Europe Friendlies
 3-1 5-3 83 W
11/07 Kozarmisleny SE
Europe Friendlies
 0-2 0-3 110 L
08/07 Maccabi Haifa
Europe Friendlies
 2-1 3-3 81 D
04/07 NK Osijek
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 4-0 –– W
02/07 Dundee
Club Friendly List
 0-1 1-2 –– L
27/06 KFC Komarno
Europe Friendlies
 2-1 4-1 62 W
24/06 Szentlorinc SE
Europe Friendlies
 2-3 3-3 70 D
20/06 Kelen SC
Europe Friendlies
 6-1 10-1 –– W
16/05 Diosgyori VTK
Hungary NB I
 3-0 3-1 74 W

Ferencvarosi TC

LDWWDWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Vojvodina
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
 2-0 3-0 64 W
09/07 Vojvodina
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
 1-1 2-1 83 W
01/07 FK Qarabag
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 1-0 40 W
28/06 Sabah
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 1-1 10 D
16/05 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
 0-0 3-0 52 W
09/05 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary Cup
 0-0 0-0 114 D
03/05 Ujpest
Hungary NB I
 2-0 5-0 55 W
26/04 Paksi
Hungary NB I
 1-0 2-0 77 W
22/04 Gyori ETO
Hungary Cup
 2-2 2-2 47 D
19/04 Gyori ETO
Hungary NB I
 0-0 0-1 67 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paksi vs Ferencvarosi TC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC win (49%). Probabilities: Paksi 27%, draw 25%, Ferencvarosi TC 49%.

How many goals are expected in Paksi vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Paksi 1.36 · Ferencvarosi TC 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Paksi vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.