Football · Hungary NB I · 02/08, 15:45

Prediction: Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC

Team pages: Ujpest · Debreceni VSC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Ujpest1.72
Debreceni VSC1.48
1X2
42% 26% 32%
Ujpest Draw Debreceni VSC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ujpest 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWDDWL
Debreceni VSC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLWDLWWL
Head-to-head
Ujpest 4–2 Debreceni VSC (6 last)
  • Debreceni VSC2-1Ujpest
  • Ujpest2-1Debreceni VSC
  • Debreceni VSC5-2Ujpest
  • Ujpest2-1Debreceni VSC
  • Debreceni VSC1-2Ujpest
  • Ujpest3-0Debreceni VSC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest 1503 · Debreceni VSC 1503
UjpestDrawDebreceni VSC
Our model43%25%32%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ujpest: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UjpestDebreceni VSC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.41.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/10/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.92.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 03.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest 402 Debreceni VSC

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Hungary NB I
Debreceni VSC2-1
HT 2-0
Ujpest
13/02/26
Hungary NB I
Ujpest2-1
HT 1-0
Debreceni VSC
26/10/25
Hungary NB I
Debreceni VSC5-2
HT 3-0
Ujpest
13/04/25
Hungary NB I
Ujpest2-1
HT 0-0
Debreceni VSC
08/12/24
Hungary NB I
Debreceni VSC1-2
HT 0-1
Ujpest
23/08/24
Hungary NB I
Ujpest3-0
HT 2-0
Debreceni VSC

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MTK Budapest 1100 303
2 Paksi 1100 423
3 Puskas Academy 1100 203
4 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1100 213
5 Gyori ETO 1010 221
5 Vasas SC 1010 221
7 Kispest Honved 1010 111
7 Kisvarda FC 1010 111
9 Ujpest 1001 120
10 Ferencvarosi TC 1001 240
11 Debreceni VSC 1001 020
12 Zalaegerszegi TE 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest

WWLLLWDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
1-0 1-2 32 L
18/07 Radnik Bijeljina
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 31 W
04/07 Hartberg
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 23 D
27/06 Universitatea Cluj
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 57 D
20/06 Cegledi VSE
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 161 W
16/05 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
0-2 1-2 67 L
03/05 Ferencvarosi TC
Hungary NB I
0-2 0-5 35 L
25/04 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
0-1 0-2 42 L
17/04 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
3-0 7-2 64 W
11/04 Kazincbarcikai BSC
Hungary NB I
1-0 3-0 13 W

Debreceni VSC

DWDLWDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
0-2 0-2 86 L
23/07 Pyunik Yerevan
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 44 W
10/07 Slaven Belupo
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 33 W
09/07 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Europe Friendlies
1-2 1-3 52 L
04/07 FK Austria Vienna
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-1 72 D
16/05 Ujpest
Hungary NB I
2-0 2-1 77 W
03/05 Paksi
Hungary NB I
2-2 2-5 38 L
26/04 Gyori ETO
Hungary NB I
0-1 1-1 45 D
18/04 Diosgyori VTK
Hungary NB I
2-0 5-0 40 W
13/04 Kisvarda FC
Hungary NB I
0-0 0-0 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest win (42%). Probabilities: Ujpest 42%, draw 26%, Debreceni VSC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Ujpest 1.72 · Debreceni VSC 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.