Football · Armenia Premier League · 10/08, 18:00

Prediction: Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC

Team pages: Alashkert FC · BKMA FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Alashkert FC1.9
BKMA FC0.72
1X2
65% 22% 13%
Alashkert FC Draw BKMA FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Alashkert FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWWDDDLW
BKMA FC 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDWDLLDD
Head-to-head
Alashkert FC 3–1–2 BKMA FC (6 last)
  • BKMA FC2-2Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC2-0BKMA FC
  • BKMA FC1-3Alashkert FC
  • BKMA FC2-0Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC2-0BKMA FC
  • BKMA FC1-0Alashkert FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alashkert FC 1549 · BKMA FC 1452
Alashkert FCDrawBKMA FC
Our model64%23%12%
Market66%21%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alashkert FC (rating 1549 vs 1452).
  • H2H favours Alashkert FC: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 10.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.82.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.14.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alashkert FC 312 BKMA FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Armenia Premier League
BKMA FC2-2
HT 0-1
Alashkert FC
08/11/25
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC2-0
HT 0-0
BKMA FC
13/09/25
Armenia Premier League
BKMA FC1-3
HT 0-2
Alashkert FC
22/05/25
Armenia Premier League
BKMA FC2-0
HT 1-0
Alashkert FC
27/10/24
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC2-0
HT 1-0
BKMA FC
07/10/24
Armenia Premier League
BKMA FC1-0
HT 0-0
Alashkert FC

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sardarapat FC 2200 626
2 Ararat Armenia 2200 646
3 Alashkert FC 1100 303
3 FC Noah 1100 303
5 Gandzasar Kapan 2101 653
6 Pyunik Yerevan 1010 221
7 BKMA FC 1010 001
7 Shirak 1010 001
9 FC Urartu 2011 341
10 FC Van 1001 140
11 Ararat Yerevan 2002 150
12 Syunik 2002 160

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlashkert FCBKMA FC
Ararat Yerevan 3-0 W 1-1 D
Shirak 2-0 W 0-0 D
FC Van 1-0 W 2-1 W
Gandzasar Kapan 3-1 W 1-1 D
FC Noah 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alashkert FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alashkert FC

DDWWWDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 3-0 57 W
30/07 CFR Cluj
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-2 0-3 53 L
23/07 CFR Cluj
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-0 1-1 66 D
16/07 FC Elimai Semey
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-1 1-1 126 D
09/07 FC Elimai Semey
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-1 116 D
26/05 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
2-0 2-0 24 W
16/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 94 W
09/05 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-1 W
02/05 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-2 64 D
25/04 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-1 56 D

BKMA FC

LDDDWDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 36 D
26/05 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-1 05 D
17/05 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-3 33 L
09/05 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-2 44 L
02/05 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-1 2-2 14 D
23/04 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
1-1 2-1 66 W
19/04 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-1 14 D
16/04 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-1 45 D
12/04 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 44 D
05/04 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alashkert FC win (65%). Probabilities: Alashkert FC 65%, draw 22%, BKMA FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Alashkert FC 1.9 · BKMA FC 0.72), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.