Football · Morocco Play-Offs · 21/07, 20:00

Prediction: Olympique Dcheira vs US Amal Tiznit

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Olympique Dcheira1.22

US Amal Tiznit0.9

1X2

42% 32% 26%

Olympique Dcheira Draw US Amal Tiznit

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Olympique Dcheira 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWWDLD

US Amal Tiznit 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDDWLDWD

Head-to-head

Olympique Dcheira 1–1–0 US Amal Tiznit (2 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olympique Dcheira 1511 · US Amal Tiznit 1495

	Olympique Dcheira	Draw	US Amal Tiznit
Our model	42%	32%	26%
Market	42%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olympique Dcheira	US Amal Tiznit
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +1’	2.15	2.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympique Dcheira 1–1–0 US Amal Tiznit

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Morocco Play-Offs	US Amal Tiznit	0-0 HT 0-0	Olympique Dcheira
04/04/24 Morocco Cup	US Amal Tiznit	0-3 HT 0-0	Olympique Dcheira

Standings · Morocco Play-Offs

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MAS Fes	30	16	11	3	40	17	59
2	RSB Berkane	30	16	9	5	44	27	57
3	Raja Casablanca	30	16	8	6	39	19	56
4	FAR Rabat	30	13	16	1	45	22	55
5	WAC Casablanca	30	13	4	13	39	33	43
6	Difaa El Jadida	30	9	13	8	30	34	40
7	Ittihad Tanger	30	9	12	9	27	31	39
8	FUS Rabat	30	9	10	11	31	36	37
9	CODM Meknes	30	9	9	12	24	33	36
10	KACM Marrakesh	30	8	12	10	27	26	36
11	Renaissance Zemamra	30	8	9	13	28	37	33
12	HUSA Agadir	30	8	9	13	27	39	33
13	Union de Touarga	30	6	13	11	32	40	31
14	Olympique Dcheira	30	7	9	14	29	40	30
15	US Yacoub El Mansour	30	7	9	14	34	44	30
16	OC Safi	30	3	13	14	24	42	22

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Olympique Dcheira

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	US Amal Tiznit Morocco Play-Offs	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
05/07	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
02/07	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
28/06	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
25/06	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
21/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
18/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
12/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
08/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
01/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-2	1-2	6	4	L

US Amal Tiznit

DDLDDWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Olympique Dcheira Morocco Play-Offs	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
05/07	Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/06	Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2	1-1	1-1	9	5	D
20/06	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
14/06	JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
07/06	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Difaa El Jadida Morocco Cup	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
10/05	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/05	Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olympique Dcheira vs US Amal Tiznit?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympique Dcheira win (42%). Probabilities: Olympique Dcheira 42%, draw 32%, US Amal Tiznit 26%.

How many goals are expected in Olympique Dcheira vs US Amal Tiznit?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Olympique Dcheira 1.22 · US Amal Tiznit 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Olympique Dcheira vs US Amal Tiznit?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.