Football · Morocco Play-Offs · 18/07, 18:00
Prediction: US Amal Tiznit vs Olympique Dcheira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
US Amal Tiznit1.28
Olympique Dcheira1.14
1X2
US Amal Tiznit
Draw
Olympique Dcheira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
US Amal Tiznit
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Olympique Dcheira
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Amal Tiznit
0–1
Olympique Dcheira
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Amal Tiznit 1488 · Olympique Dcheira 1499
| US Amal Tiznit | Draw | Olympique Dcheira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 31% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Amal Tiznit | Olympique Dcheira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/75/25% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Amal Tiznit 0–0–1 Olympique Dcheira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/24 Morocco Cup | US Amal Tiznit | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Olympique Dcheira |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Amal Tiznit
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
Olympique Dcheira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/07 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Amal Tiznit vs Olympique Dcheira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a US Amal Tiznit win (38%). Probabilities: US Amal Tiznit 38%, draw 31%, Olympique Dcheira 31%.
How many goals are expected in US Amal Tiznit vs Olympique Dcheira?
The model expects 2.42 goals (US Amal Tiznit 1.28 · Olympique Dcheira 1.14), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in US Amal Tiznit vs Olympique Dcheira?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.