Football · Morocco Play-Offs · 21/07, 20:00

Prediction: Union de Touarga vs JS Massira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Union de Touarga1.35

JS Massira0.74

1X2

50% 31% 19%

Union de Touarga Draw JS Massira

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Union de Touarga 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLLDWWD

JS Massira 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDLWLWD

Head-to-head

Union de Touarga 1–2–0 JS Massira (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union de Touarga 1528 · JS Massira 1501

	Union de Touarga	Draw	JS Massira
Our model	50%	31%	19%
Market	50%	31%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union de Touarga	JS Massira
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	1.5 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.6	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X2.88

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.00 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
2	4.50 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:00 +2’	1.80	3.00	4.50
20:51 +11’	1.80	2.88▼	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union de Touarga 1–2–0 JS Massira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Morocco Play-Offs	JS Massira	1-1 HT 1-0	Union de Touarga
04/02/22 Morocco GNF 2	Union de Touarga	3-2	JS Massira
24/09/21 Morocco GNF 2	JS Massira	1-1	Union de Touarga

Standings · Morocco Play-Offs

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MAS Fes	30	16	11	3	40	17	59
2	RSB Berkane	30	16	9	5	44	27	57
3	Raja Casablanca	30	16	8	6	39	19	56
4	FAR Rabat	30	13	16	1	45	22	55
5	WAC Casablanca	30	13	4	13	39	33	43
6	Difaa El Jadida	30	9	13	8	30	34	40
7	Ittihad Tanger	30	9	12	9	27	31	39
8	FUS Rabat	30	9	10	11	31	36	37
9	CODM Meknes	30	9	9	12	24	33	36
10	KACM Marrakesh	30	8	12	10	27	26	36
11	Renaissance Zemamra	30	8	9	13	28	37	33
12	HUSA Agadir	30	8	9	13	27	39	33
13	Union de Touarga	30	6	13	11	32	40	31
14	Olympique Dcheira	30	7	9	14	29	40	30
15	US Yacoub El Mansour	30	7	9	14	34	44	30
16	OC Safi	30	3	13	14	24	42	22

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Union de Touarga

DWDWLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	JS Massira Morocco Play-Offs	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
05/07	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/07	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
28/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	2-1	2-2	1	5	D
25/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-2	0	3	L
21/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
17/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
14/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
09/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
01/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

JS Massira

WDLDDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Union de Touarga Morocco Play-Offs	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/07	Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
27/06	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
20/06	Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
14/06	Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
07/06	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
16/05	Raja Casablanca Morocco Cup	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
09/05	KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	0-1	3-1	0	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union de Touarga vs JS Massira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union de Touarga win (50%). Probabilities: Union de Touarga 50%, draw 31%, JS Massira 19%.

How many goals are expected in Union de Touarga vs JS Massira?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Union de Touarga 1.35 · JS Massira 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Union de Touarga vs JS Massira?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.