Prediction: Tucuman Central vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0Tucuman Central
| Tucuman Central | Draw | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 34% | 45% |
| Market | 22% | 32% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Sarmiento de la Banda (rating 1452 vs 1548).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tucuman Central | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 3.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tucuman Central 0–0–1 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tucuman Central |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tucuman Central | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
|---|---|---|
| Juventud Antoniana | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Sarmiento de Resistencia | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Boca Unidos | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| San Martin Formosa | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Sarmiento de la Banda (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tucuman Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 31/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tucuman Central vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (45%). Probabilities: Tucuman Central 22%, draw 33%, CA Sarmiento de la Banda 45%.
How many goals are expected in Tucuman Central vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
The model expects 1.8 goals (Tucuman Central 0.68 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tucuman Central vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.