Football · Argentina Torneo A · 26/07, 20:00
Prediction: Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.68Total
Guillermo Brown1.17
Germinal de Rawson0.52
1X2
Guillermo Brown
Draw
Germinal de Rawson
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Guillermo Brown
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Germinal de Rawson
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guillermo Brown
1–1–2
Germinal de Rawson
(4 last)
- Germinal de Rawson1-1Guillermo Brown
- Germinal de Rawson1-0Guillermo Brown
- Guillermo Brown1-2Germinal de Rawson
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guillermo Brown 1487 · Germinal de Rawson 1484
| Guillermo Brown | Draw | Germinal de Rawson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 34% | 15% |
| Market | 53% | 29% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.68 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Germinal de Rawson: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guillermo Brown | Germinal de Rawson | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.9 | 0.5 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guillermo Brown 1–1–2 Germinal de Rawson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Germinal de Rawson | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Guillermo Brown |
| 27/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Germinal de Rawson | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guillermo Brown |
| 18/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Germinal de Rawson |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | Germinal de Rawson | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Guillermo Brown |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 4
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo B Blanca | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | CA Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | Club Villa Mitre | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Germinal de Rawson | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guillermo Brown | Germinal de Rawson |
|---|---|---|
| Club Villa Mitre | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Sol de Mayo | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Olimpo B Blanca | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Alvarado | 0-0 D | 0-5 L |
| Santamarina Tandil | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guillermo Brown (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guillermo Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Germinal de Rawson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guillermo Brown win (52%). Probabilities: Guillermo Brown 52%, draw 31%, Germinal de Rawson 17%.
How many goals are expected in Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
The model expects 1.68 goals (Guillermo Brown 1.17 · Germinal de Rawson 0.52), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.