Football · Argentina Torneo A · 26/07, 20:00
Prediction: Sol de Mayo vs Club Villa Mitre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.63Total
Sol de Mayo0.67
Club Villa Mitre0.97
1X2
Sol de Mayo
Draw
Club Villa Mitre
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sol de Mayo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Club Villa Mitre
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sol de Mayo
0–6
Club Villa Mitre
(6 last)
- Club Villa Mitre2-1Sol de Mayo
- Club Villa Mitre2-0Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo0-3Club Villa Mitre
- Sol de Mayo0-2Club Villa Mitre
- Club Villa Mitre3-1Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo0-4Club Villa Mitre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sol de Mayo 1467 · Club Villa Mitre 1539
| Sol de Mayo | Draw | Club Villa Mitre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 37% | 40% |
| Market | 26% | 32% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.63 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Villa Mitre (rating 1467 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Club Villa Mitre: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sol de Mayo | Club Villa Mitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de Mayo 0–0–6 Club Villa Mitre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Club Villa Mitre | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 15/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Villa Mitre | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 12/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 09/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 14/04/24 Argentina Torneo A | Club Villa Mitre | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 30/09/23 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Club Villa Mitre |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo B Blanca | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | CA Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | Club Villa Mitre | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Germinal de Rawson | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sol de Mayo | Club Villa Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Guillermo Brown | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Olimpo B Blanca | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Alvarado | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Santamarina Tandil | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Germinal de Rawson | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Villa Mitre (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Club Villa Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sol de Mayo vs Club Villa Mitre?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Villa Mitre win (41%). Probabilities: Sol de Mayo 24%, draw 34%, Club Villa Mitre 41%.
How many goals are expected in Sol de Mayo vs Club Villa Mitre?
The model expects 1.63 goals (Sol de Mayo 0.67 · Club Villa Mitre 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sol de Mayo vs Club Villa Mitre?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.