Football · Argentina Torneo A · 26/07, 21:00
Prediction: Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Sol de America de Formosa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.8Total
Sarmiento de Resistencia1.28
Sol de America de Formosa0.52
1X2
Sarmiento de Resistencia
Draw
Sol de America de Formosa
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sarmiento de Resistencia
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Sol de America de Formosa
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sarmiento de Resistencia
3–3
Sol de America de Formosa
(6 last)
- Sol de America de Formosa3-0Sarmiento de Resistencia
- Sol de America de Formosa0-1Sarmiento de Resistencia
- Sol de America de Formosa2-0Sarmiento de Resistencia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarmiento de Resistencia 1453 · Sol de America de Formosa 1530
| Sarmiento de Resistencia | Draw | Sol de America de Formosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 32% | 14% |
| Market | 56% | 29% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.8 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America de Formosa (rating 1453 vs 1530).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sarmiento de Resistencia | Sol de America de Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarmiento de Resistencia 3–0–3 Sol de America de Formosa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
| 15/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
| 13/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de America de Formosa |
| 19/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sarmiento de Resistencia |
| 24/03/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de America de Formosa |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sarmiento de Resistencia | Sol de America de Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| Boca Unidos | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Tucuman Central | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| San Martin Formosa | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Juventud Antoniana | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sol de America de Formosa (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarmiento de Resistencia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Sol de America de Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Sol de America de Formosa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarmiento de Resistencia win (55%). Probabilities: Sarmiento de Resistencia 55%, draw 30%, Sol de America de Formosa 15%.
How many goals are expected in Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Sol de America de Formosa?
The model expects 1.8 goals (Sarmiento de Resistencia 1.28 · Sol de America de Formosa 0.52), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Sol de America de Formosa?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.