Football · Argentina Torneo A · 25/07, 01:35

Prediction: Sportivo Belgrano vs Escobar FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Sportivo Belgrano1.56

Escobar FC0.62

1X2

59% 28% 13%

Sportivo Belgrano Draw Escobar FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Belgrano 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDDDD

Escobar FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Sportivo Belgrano 1–0 Escobar FC (1 last)

Escobar FC1-3Sportivo Belgrano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Belgrano 1549 · Escobar FC 1499

	Sportivo Belgrano	Draw	Escobar FC
Our model	59%	27%	13%
Market	59%	28%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Belgrano (rating 1549 vs 1499).
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Belgrano	Escobar FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.4	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.9	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.20

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +7’	1.53	3.20	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Belgrano 1–0–0 Escobar FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A	Escobar FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Sportivo Belgrano

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19	7	29
2	CA Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20	14	28
3	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15	10	26
4	Defensores de Belgrano VR	17	7	5	5	22	18	26
5	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27	25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11	12	23
7	Escobar FC	17	6	3	8	19	27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14	21	18
9	Gimnasia y Esgrima	17	4	5	8	12	17	17
10	Club Atlético El Linqueño	17	4	4	9	13	21	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Belgrano	Escobar FC
Sportivo Las Parejas	0-0 D	0-1 L
Independiente Chivilcoy	1-1 D	0-0 D
Club Atlético El Linqueño	1-1 D	1-0 W
CA Douglas Haig	0-0 D	2-1 W
Defensores de Belgrano VR	1-0 W	1-1 D
Gimnasia y Esgrima	0-1 L	2-1 W
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	1-0 W	0-2 L
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Belgrano

WWWWLWDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
05/07	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
28/06	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
20/06	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
15/06	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
07/06	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
31/05	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
24/05	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
17/05	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
10/05	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-0	3	5	W

Escobar FC

LLDLWWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
05/07	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
28/06	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/06	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	7	6	L
13/06	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
07/06	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
30/05	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
24/05	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
17/05	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-3	7	5	L
10/05	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	1-1	1-4	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Belgrano vs Escobar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Belgrano win (59%). Probabilities: Sportivo Belgrano 59%, draw 28%, Escobar FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Belgrano vs Escobar FC?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Sportivo Belgrano 1.56 · Escobar FC 0.62), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Belgrano vs Escobar FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.