Football · Thailand Premier League · 24/10, 14:30
Prediction: Ratchaburi FC vs Chonburi
Team pages: Ratchaburi FC · Chonburi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Ratchaburi FC2.17
Chonburi1.1
1X2
Ratchaburi FC
Draw
Chonburi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Ratchaburi FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Chonburi
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ratchaburi FC
4–1–1
Chonburi
(6 last)
- Ratchaburi FC1-0Chonburi
- Chonburi0-1Ratchaburi FC
- Chonburi0-1Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC1-2Chonburi
- Chonburi1-2Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC1-1Chonburi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ratchaburi FC 1550 · Chonburi 1413
| Ratchaburi FC | Draw | Chonburi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ratchaburi FC (rating 1550 vs 1413).
- H2H favours Ratchaburi FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ratchaburi FC | Chonburi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.2 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ratchaburi FC 4–1–1 Chonburi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chonburi |
| 23/08/25 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 07/04/24 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 05/11/23 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Chonburi |
| 19/03/23 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 23/10/22 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chonburi |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Prachuap FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Port FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Uthai Thani FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Sisaket United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Chiangrai Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Pattani FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ratchaburi FC | Chonburi |
|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai Utd | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Rayong FC | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ratchaburi FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ratchaburi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/10 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Chonburi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ratchaburi FC vs Chonburi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ratchaburi FC win (61%). Probabilities: Ratchaburi FC 61%, draw 22%, Chonburi 17%.
How many goals are expected in Ratchaburi FC vs Chonburi?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Ratchaburi FC 2.17 · Chonburi 1.1), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ratchaburi FC vs Chonburi?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.