Football · Croatia 2.NL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Lucko vs Varteks Varazdin

Team pages: NK Lucko · Varteks Varazdin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

NK Lucko1.49

Varteks Varazdin0.95

1X2

49% 27% 24%

NK Lucko Draw Varteks Varazdin

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Lucko 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWDDL

Varteks Varazdin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDLWLL

Head-to-head

NK Lucko 1–1–0 Varteks Varazdin (2 last)

NK Lucko1-1Varteks Varazdin
Varteks Varazdin2-3NK Lucko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Lucko 1472 · Varteks Varazdin 1440

	NK Lucko	Draw	Varteks Varazdin
Our model	49%	29%	23%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Lucko	Varteks Varazdin
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	22/22/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +30’	1.80	3.50	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Lucko 1–1–0 Varteks Varazdin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Lucko	1-1 HT 1-0	Varteks Varazdin
02/11/25 Croatia 2.NL	Varteks Varazdin	2-3 HT 1-0	NK Lucko

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	10	8	0	2	23	8	24
2	NK Dugo Selo	11	6	2	3	16	8	20
3	NK Jarun	10	4	6	0	20	14	18
4	Bjelovar	11	5	3	3	24	19	18
5	NK Uljanik	11	5	2	4	19	21	17
6	NK Inker Zapresic	11	4	4	3	16	16	16
7	NK Solin	11	4	3	4	16	13	15
8	NK Zagora	11	3	6	2	26	24	15
9	NK Trnje	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
10	NK Slavonija Pozega	11	4	3	4	19	18	15
11	NK Krizevci	11	4	3	4	15	16	15
12	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	11	4	2	5	15	18	14
13	NK Grobnican	11	3	3	5	16	23	12
14	NK Lucko	11	2	4	5	11	14	10
15	Varteks Varazdin	11	2	2	7	8	18	8
16	NK Koprivnica	11	1	2	8	10	26	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Lucko	Varteks Varazdin
NK Uskok	0-1 L	1-4 L
NK Krizevci	1-1 D	0-3 L
NK Dugo Selo	0-1 L	2-1 W
NK Uljanik	2-2 D	0-1 L
NK Solin	0-1 L	0-3 L
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NK Lucko (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Lucko

WLDLLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
24/10	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-1	16	4	D
17/10	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
10/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
03/10	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	5	7	L
18/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
11/09	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
04/09	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
29/08	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-0	5	5	W

Varteks Varazdin

LLWLDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
24/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
17/10	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
10/10	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	13	4	L
03/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
12/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	–	2-1	0	0	W
05/09	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
22/08	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	0	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Lucko vs Varteks Varazdin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Lucko win (49%). Probabilities: NK Lucko 49%, draw 27%, Varteks Varazdin 24%.

How many goals are expected in NK Lucko vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model expects 2.44 goals (NK Lucko 1.49 · Varteks Varazdin 0.95), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Lucko vs Varteks Varazdin?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.