Football · Croatia 2.NL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Trnje vs NK Krizevci

Team pages: NK Trnje · NK Krizevci

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

NK Trnje1.44

NK Krizevci1.32

1X2

39% 27% 34%

NK Trnje Draw NK Krizevci

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Trnje 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWLDLD

NK Krizevci 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLDDW

Head-to-head

NK Trnje 1–2–3 NK Krizevci (6 last)

NK Krizevci1-2NK Trnje
NK Trnje0-0NK Krizevci
NK Trnje4-5NK Krizevci
NK Krizevci0-0NK Trnje
NK Krizevci4-1NK Trnje
NK Trnje0-2NK Krizevci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Trnje 1498 · NK Krizevci 1485

	NK Trnje	Draw	NK Krizevci
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Krizevci: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Trnje	NK Krizevci
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.5	3.2 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +39’	2.25	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Trnje 1–2–3 NK Krizevci

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Krizevci	1-2 HT 0-0	NK Trnje
18/10/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Trnje	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Krizevci
31/05/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Trnje	4-5 HT 1-2	NK Krizevci
30/11/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Krizevci	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Trnje
27/04/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Krizevci	4-1 HT 2-1	NK Trnje
21/10/23 Croatia 2.NL	NK Trnje	0-2 HT 0-1	NK Krizevci

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	10	8	0	2	23	8	24
2	NK Dugo Selo	11	6	2	3	16	8	20
3	NK Jarun	10	4	6	0	20	14	18
4	Bjelovar	11	5	3	3	24	19	18
5	NK Uljanik	11	5	2	4	19	21	17
6	NK Inker Zapresic	11	4	4	3	16	16	16
7	NK Solin	11	4	3	4	16	13	15
8	NK Zagora	11	3	6	2	26	24	15
9	NK Trnje	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
10	NK Slavonija Pozega	11	4	3	4	19	18	15
11	NK Krizevci	11	4	3	4	15	16	15
12	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	11	4	2	5	15	18	14
13	NK Grobnican	11	3	3	5	16	23	12
14	NK Lucko	11	2	4	5	11	14	10
15	Varteks Varazdin	11	2	2	7	8	18	8
16	NK Koprivnica	11	1	2	8	10	26	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Trnje	NK Krizevci
NK Slavonija Pozega	1-3 L	2-0 W
NK Zagora	2-2 D	1-1 D
NK Lucko	1-2 L	1-1 D
NK Uljanik	2-0 W	1-3 L
NK Solin	1-3 L	0-2 L
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0-1 L	1-0 W
NK Jarun	3-3 D	2-2 D
NK Koprivnica	1-0 W	3-0 W
Bjelovar	2-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Krizevci (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Trnje

WWDLLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
24/10	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	1	4	L
17/10	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-2	7	2	D
10/10	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
03/10	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/09	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	2	6	L
19/09	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
12/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	1-2	3-3	5	2	D
05/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
28/08	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-0	2-0	2	3	W

NK Krizevci

LLWDWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
24/10	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
17/10	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/10	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	10	2	L
03/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-2	13	3	L
25/09	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
19/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	0-0	3-0	3	5	W
05/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-2	1-4	5	3	L
29/08	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Trnje vs NK Krizevci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Trnje win (39%). Probabilities: NK Trnje 39%, draw 27%, NK Krizevci 34%.

How many goals are expected in NK Trnje vs NK Krizevci?

The model expects 2.76 goals (NK Trnje 1.44 · NK Krizevci 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Trnje vs NK Krizevci?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.