Football · Croatia 2.NL · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Dugo Selo vs NK Jarun

Team pages: NK Dugo Selo · NK Jarun

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

NK Dugo Selo1.45

NK Jarun1.17

1X2

43% 27% 30%

NK Dugo Selo Draw NK Jarun

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Dugo Selo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLWD

NK Jarun 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWWDDW

Head-to-head

NK Dugo Selo 1–0 NK Jarun (1 last)

NK Dugo Selo4-3NK Jarun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Dugo Selo 1542 · NK Jarun 1546

	NK Dugo Selo	Draw	NK Jarun
Our model	42%	28%	29%
Market	44%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Dugo Selo	NK Jarun
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +17’	2.05	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dugo Selo 1–0–0 NK Jarun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/01/22 Europe Friendlies	NK Dugo Selo	4-3 HT 3-1	NK Jarun

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	10	8	0	2	23	8	24
2	NK Dugo Selo	11	6	2	3	16	8	20
3	NK Jarun	10	4	6	0	20	14	18
4	Bjelovar	11	5	3	3	24	19	18
5	NK Uljanik	11	5	2	4	19	21	17
6	NK Inker Zapresic	11	4	4	3	16	16	16
7	NK Solin	11	4	3	4	16	13	15
8	NK Zagora	11	3	6	2	26	24	15
9	NK Trnje	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
10	NK Slavonija Pozega	11	4	3	4	19	18	15
11	NK Krizevci	11	4	3	4	15	16	15
12	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	11	4	2	5	15	18	14
13	NK Grobnican	11	3	3	5	16	23	12
14	NK Lucko	11	2	4	5	11	14	10
15	Varteks Varazdin	11	2	2	7	8	18	8
16	NK Koprivnica	11	1	2	8	10	26	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Dugo Selo	NK Jarun
NK Trnje	0-0 D	3-3 D
NK Koprivnica	2-0 W	1-0 W
NK Slavonija Pozega	0-1 L	1-0 W
Bjelovar	3-1 W	2-2 D
NK Zagora	4-0 W	4-4 D
NK Inker Zapresic	3-0 W	2-2 D
NK Lucko	1-0 W	1-1 D
Varteks Varazdin	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 5 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NK Dugo Selo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Dugo Selo

WLLWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
24/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
17/10	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
10/10	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	4	7	W
03/10	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-0	3-0	2	3	W
18/09	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
12/09	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	–	1-2	0	0	L
04/09	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	9	5	L
29/08	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	4	5	W

NK Jarun

DDWDDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
24/10	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
17/10	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
10/10	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
26/09	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
19/09	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-2	0	4	D
12/09	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-3	2	2	D
05/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
29/08	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	2-0	4-4	2	2	D
22/08	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Dugo Selo vs NK Jarun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Dugo Selo win (43%). Probabilities: NK Dugo Selo 43%, draw 27%, NK Jarun 30%.

How many goals are expected in NK Dugo Selo vs NK Jarun?

The model expects 2.62 goals (NK Dugo Selo 1.45 · NK Jarun 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Dugo Selo vs NK Jarun?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.