Football · Croatia 2.NL · 06/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Uljanik vs NK Inker Zapresic

Team pages: NK Uljanik · NK Inker Zapresic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

NK Uljanik1.75

NK Inker Zapresic1.4

1X2

45% 25% 30%

NK Uljanik Draw NK Inker Zapresic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Uljanik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLWLLW

NK Inker Zapresic 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLDWDDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Uljanik 1494 · NK Inker Zapresic 1529

	NK Uljanik	Draw	NK Inker Zapresic
Our model	45%	25%	30%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Uljanik	NK Inker Zapresic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	1.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +25’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Uskok	10	8	0	2	23	8	24
2	NK Dugo Selo	11	6	2	3	16	8	20
3	NK Jarun	10	4	6	0	20	14	18
4	Bjelovar	11	5	3	3	24	19	18
5	NK Uljanik	11	5	2	4	19	21	17
6	NK Inker Zapresic	11	4	4	3	16	16	16
7	NK Solin	11	4	3	4	16	13	15
8	NK Zagora	11	3	6	2	26	24	15
9	NK Trnje	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
10	NK Slavonija Pozega	11	4	3	4	19	18	15
11	NK Krizevci	11	4	3	4	15	16	15
12	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	11	4	2	5	15	18	14
13	NK Grobnican	11	3	3	5	16	23	12
14	NK Lucko	11	2	4	5	11	14	10
15	Varteks Varazdin	11	2	2	7	8	18	8
16	NK Koprivnica	11	1	2	8	10	26	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Uljanik	NK Inker Zapresic
Varteks Varazdin	1-0 W	2-0 W
NK Uskok	1-3 L	2-3 L
NK Grobnican	0-2 L	2-2 D
NK Krizevci	3-1 W	3-0 W
NK Dugo Selo	3-0 W	0-3 L
NK Solin	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Inker Zapresic (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Uljanik

WWDLDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/10	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	1-3	6	4	L
16/10	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
09/10	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	2-0	3-1	1	2	W
03/10	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
25/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
19/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
11/09	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
04/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
30/08	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	3-1	3	4	W

NK Inker Zapresic

WDLWLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Solin Croatia 2.NL	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
24/10	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
17/10	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/10	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
03/10	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
26/09	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
19/09	Varteks Varazdin Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
12/09	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-3	2	2	L
05/09	NK Grobnican Croatia 2.NL	2-0	2-2	5	2	D
29/08	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-0	3-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Uljanik vs NK Inker Zapresic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Uljanik win (45%). Probabilities: NK Uljanik 45%, draw 25%, NK Inker Zapresic 30%.

How many goals are expected in NK Uljanik vs NK Inker Zapresic?

The model expects 3.16 goals (NK Uljanik 1.75 · NK Inker Zapresic 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Uljanik vs NK Inker Zapresic?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.