Football · Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar · 18/07, 16:30
Prediction: Integracion Del Norte San Juan vs CD Nueva Santa Cruz
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Integracion Del Norte San Juan1.96
CD Nueva Santa Cruz1.25
1X2
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
Draw
CD Nueva Santa Cruz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
CD Nueva Santa Cruz
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
2–1–1
CD Nueva Santa Cruz
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Integracion Del Norte San Juan 1539 · CD Nueva Santa Cruz 1468
| Integracion Del Norte San Juan | Draw | CD Nueva Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Integracion Del Norte San Juan (rating 1539 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Integracion Del Norte San Juan: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Integracion Del Norte San Juan | CD Nueva Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6 | 2.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Integracion Del Norte San Juan 2–1–1 CD Nueva Santa Cruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar | CD Nueva Santa Cruz | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Integracion Del Norte San Juan |
| 13/06/26 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar | CD Nueva Santa Cruz | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Integracion Del Norte San Juan |
| 21/06/25 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar | CD Nueva Santa Cruz | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Integracion Del Norte San Juan |
| 21/05/25 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar | Integracion Del Norte San Juan | 2-2 HT 0-1 | CD Nueva Santa Cruz |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Integracion Del Norte San Juan | CD Nueva Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Virginia USC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Real Santa Cruz | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Royal Pari FC | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Virginia USC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | CD Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | CD Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Real Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Real Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Royal Pari FC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 23/12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division Play-Offs |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
CD Nueva Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Virginia USC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Integracion Del Norte San Juan Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Virginia USC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Integracion Del Norte San Juan Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Royal Pari FC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Real Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Virginia USC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Real Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 19/07 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-4 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Integracion Del Norte San Juan vs CD Nueva Santa Cruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Integracion Del Norte San Juan win (53%). Probabilities: Integracion Del Norte San Juan 53%, draw 23%, CD Nueva Santa Cruz 24%.
How many goals are expected in Integracion Del Norte San Juan vs CD Nueva Santa Cruz?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Integracion Del Norte San Juan 1.96 · CD Nueva Santa Cruz 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Integracion Del Norte San Juan vs CD Nueva Santa Cruz?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.