Football · Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar · 11/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Integracion Del Norte San Juan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz1.64
Integracion Del Norte San Juan1.4
1X2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0–1–1
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 1556 · Integracion Del Norte San Juan 1534
| Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | Draw | Integracion Del Norte San Juan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | Integracion Del Norte San Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.5 | 2.5 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 0–1–1 Integracion Del Norte San Juan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar | Integracion Del Norte San Juan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz |
| 28/05/25 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar | Integracion Del Norte San Juan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | Integracion Del Norte San Juan |
|---|---|---|
| CD Nueva Santa Cruz | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Virginia USC | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CD Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Integracion Del Norte San Juan Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Los Angeles FC de Cotoca Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Esperanza Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 30/05 | Virginia USC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | Los Angeles FC de Cotoca Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 09/11 | Universitario de Sucre Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 02/11 | Universitario de Sucre Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/10 | Olympic FC Cochabamba Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 6-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Olympic FC Cochabamba Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Integracion Del Norte San Juan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Virginia USC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | CD Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | CD Nueva Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Real Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Real Santa Cruz Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Royal Pari FC Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 23/12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division Play-Offs |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 07/12 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Integracion Del Norte San Juan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz win (42%). Probabilities: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 42%, draw 26%, Integracion Del Norte San Juan 32%.
How many goals are expected in Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Integracion Del Norte San Juan?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 1.64 · Integracion Del Norte San Juan 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Integracion Del Norte San Juan?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.