Football · Argentina Torneo A · 26/07, 20:00

Prediction: CA Douglas Haig vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

CA Douglas Haig1.37

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1.35

1X2

35% 31% 34%

CA Douglas Haig Draw CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CA Douglas Haig 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDWDL

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDDLWWLL

Head-to-head

CA Douglas Haig 1–1–4 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela (6 last)

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela2-0CA Douglas Haig
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela2-1CA Douglas Haig
CA Douglas Haig0-1CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Douglas Haig 1469 · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1483

	CA Douglas Haig	Draw	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Our model	36%	28%	35%
Market	34%	33%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Douglas Haig	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.63

X2.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:50 +9’	2.63	2.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Douglas Haig 1–1–4 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2-0 HT 1-0	CA Douglas Haig
14/09/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2-1 HT 1-0	CA Douglas Haig
29/06/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	0-1 HT 0-0	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
27/04/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Douglas Haig
19/05/24 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	4-0 HT 2-0	CA Douglas Haig
24/03/24 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	1-1 HT 0-1	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21	9	30
2	CA Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20	14	28
3	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15	10	26
4	Defensores de Belgrano VR	17	7	5	5	22	18	26
5	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27	25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11	12	23
7	Escobar FC	18	6	4	8	21	29	22
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14	21	18
9	Gimnasia y Esgrima	17	4	5	8	12	17	17
10	Club Atlético El Linqueño	17	4	4	9	13	21	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Douglas Haig	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Escobar FC	1-2 L	0-2 L
Sportivo Las Parejas	0-0 D	2-2 D
Independiente Chivilcoy	4-0 W	2-2 D
Sportivo Belgrano	0-0 D	0-2 L
Club Atlético El Linqueño	0-2 L	3-2 W
Defensores de Belgrano VR	0-1 L	1-2 L
Gimnasia y Esgrima	0-0 D	0-3 L
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CA Douglas Haig (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Douglas Haig

WLLDLLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	1	7	L
05/07	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
28/06	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	2-0	4-0	2	1	W
20/06	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
14/06	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
07/06	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
31/05	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/05	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
17/05	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
10/05	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	1-1	4-1	6	7	W

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

DWLDDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/07	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
05/07	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/06	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
23/06	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	2-1	3-2	3	1	W
13/06	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-2	0-2	1	5	L
07/06	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-2	2	8	D
31/05	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
24/05	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
17/05	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
10/05	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Douglas Haig vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Douglas Haig win (35%). Probabilities: CA Douglas Haig 35%, draw 31%, CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 34%.

How many goals are expected in CA Douglas Haig vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela?

The model expects 2.72 goals (CA Douglas Haig 1.37 · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.35), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Douglas Haig vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.