Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: Guimaraes B vs Trofense

Team pages: Guimaraes B · Trofense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Guimaraes B1.33
Trofense0.76
1X2
50% 28% 21%
Guimaraes B Draw Trofense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Guimaraes B 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WDDDLDLLWD
Trofense 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLDDLLLW
Head-to-head
Guimaraes B 3–1–2 Trofense (6 last)
  • Trofense1-1Guimaraes B
  • Guimaraes B1-2Trofense
  • Trofense0-1Guimaraes B
  • Guimaraes B1-2Trofense
  • Guimaraes B2-0Trofense
  • Trofense1-5Guimaraes B
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guimaraes B 1475 · Trofense 1437
Guimaraes BDrawTrofense
Our model49%31%20%
Market51%26%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Guimaraes B: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guimaraes BTrofense
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.30.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.32.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.44.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guimaraes B 312 Trofense

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Portugal Liga 3
Trofense1-1
HT 1-1
Guimaraes B
15/03/26
Portugal Liga 3
Guimaraes B1-2
HT 0-1
Trofense
04/01/26
Portugal Liga 3
Trofense0-1
HT 0-1
Guimaraes B
28/09/25
Portugal Liga 3
Guimaraes B1-2
HT 0-2
Trofense
19/04/15
Portugal Segunda Liga
Guimaraes B2-0
HT 1-0
Trofense
15/11/14
Portugal Segunda Liga
Trofense1-5
HT 1-2
Guimaraes B

Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Varzim 3300 729
2 AD Marco 09 3201 536
2 Paredes 3201 536
4 AD Fafe 3120 425
5 Guimaraes B 3111 444
6 SC Vianense 3111 224
7 Leca 3111 344
8 Trofense 3102 133
9 Sao Joao Ver 3012 251
10 Pacos Ferreira 3003 270

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuimaraes BTrofense
Amarante 1-3 L 0-0 D
CD Mafra 0-2 L 0-1 L
Varzim 2-2 D 0-1 L
UD Santarem 1-1 D 1-0 W
CF Os Belenenses 0-0 D 0-1 L
Academica 1-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guimaraes B

WDDDLDLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 AD Fafe
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 57 D
15/08 Leca
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 2-0 78 W
07/08 Paredes
Portugal Liga 3
0-2 1-3 36 L
16/05 Amarante
Portugal Liga 3
0-3 1-3 62 L
09/05 Trofense
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 61 D
03/05 CD Mafra
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-2 135 L
25/04 Varzim
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 2-2 34 D
19/04 UD Santarem
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 1-1 83 D
11/04 CF Os Belenenses
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 42 D
04/04 Academica
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-0 85 W

Trofense

LWLLDDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Sao Joao Ver
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 1-0 16 W
15/08 SC Vianense
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-2 49 L
09/08 Varzim
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 24 L
16/05 Academica
Portugal Liga 3
0-2 0-3 22 L
09/05 Guimaraes B
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 81 D
01/05 Amarante
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
25/04 CD Mafra
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 32 L
18/04 Varzim
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 49 L
11/04 UD Santarem
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 1-0 74 W
03/04 CF Os Belenenses
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guimaraes B vs Trofense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guimaraes B win (50%). Probabilities: Guimaraes B 50%, draw 28%, Trofense 21%.

How many goals are expected in Guimaraes B vs Trofense?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Guimaraes B 1.33 · Trofense 0.76), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Guimaraes B vs Trofense?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.