Prediction: Sao Joao Ver vs AD Marco 09
Team pages: Sao Joao Ver · AD Marco 09
- Sao Joao Ver0-0AD Marco 09
- AD Marco 092-1Sao Joao Ver
- AD Marco 092-1Sao Joao Ver
- Sao Joao Ver0-0AD Marco 09
- AD Marco 090-0Sao Joao Ver
- Sao Joao Ver1-0AD Marco 09
| Sao Joao Ver | Draw | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Marco 09 (rating 1503 vs 1564).
- H2H favours AD Marco 09: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Joao Ver | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Joao Ver 1–3–2 AD Marco 09
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AD Marco 09 |
| 01/03/26 Portugal Liga 3 | AD Marco 09 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 21/12/25 Portugal Liga 3 | AD Marco 09 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 24/09/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Sao Joao Ver | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AD Marco 09 |
| 11/02/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | AD Marco 09 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sao Joao Ver |
| 08/10/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Sao Joao Ver | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD Marco 09 |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Paredes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | SC Vianense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Leca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sao Joao Ver | AD Marco 09 |
|---|---|---|
| AD Fafe | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| AD Sanjoanense | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Paredes | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Braga B | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Joao Ver
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Leca Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 21/03 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
AD Marco 09
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | SC Vianense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 21/03 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 15/03 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/03 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Joao Ver vs AD Marco 09?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sao Joao Ver win (34%). Probabilities: Sao Joao Ver 34%, draw 32%, AD Marco 09 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sao Joao Ver vs AD Marco 09?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Sao Joao Ver 0.9 · AD Marco 09 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sao Joao Ver vs AD Marco 09?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.