Prediction: Varzim vs Paredes
- Paredes0-0Varzim
- Varzim2-2Paredes
- Paredes1-0Varzim
- Varzim1-0Paredes
| Varzim | Draw | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varzim | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varzim 1–2–1 Paredes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Paredes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Varzim |
| 12/09/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Paredes |
| 12/03/23 Portugal Liga 3 | Paredes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Varzim |
| 02/12/22 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Paredes |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Paredes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | SC Vianense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Leca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Varzim | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Pacos Ferreira | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| AD Marco 09 | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Guimaraes B | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Varzim (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varzim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
Paredes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Leca Portugal Liga 3 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 07/08 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
4-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 15/03 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varzim vs Paredes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Varzim win (38%). Probabilities: Varzim 38%, draw 30%, Paredes 32%.
How many goals are expected in Varzim vs Paredes?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Varzim 1.25 · Paredes 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Varzim vs Paredes?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

