Prediction: Varzim vs Guimaraes B
Team pages: Varzim · Guimaraes B
- Varzim2-2Guimaraes B
- Guimaraes B3-0Varzim
- Guimaraes B1-2Varzim
- Varzim1-1Guimaraes B
- Guimaraes B2-1Varzim
- Varzim2-0Guimaraes B
| Varzim | Draw | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varzim (rating 1494 vs 1449).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varzim | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 3.1 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varzim 2–2–2 Guimaraes B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Guimaraes B |
| 28/02/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Guimaraes B | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Varzim |
| 11/01/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Guimaraes B | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Varzim |
| 04/10/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Guimaraes B |
| 19/02/23 Portugal Liga 3 | Guimaraes B | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Varzim |
| 04/11/22 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guimaraes B |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Leca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | Sao Joao Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Varzim | Guimaraes B |
|---|---|---|
| Paredes | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Pacos Ferreira | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| AD Marco 09 | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Trofense | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Varzim (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varzim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | SC Vianense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Guimaraes B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | AD Marco 09 Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Leca Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 07/08 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varzim vs Guimaraes B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Varzim win (44%). Probabilities: Varzim 44%, draw 28%, Guimaraes B 28%.
How many goals are expected in Varzim vs Guimaraes B?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Varzim 1.48 · Guimaraes B 1.14), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Varzim vs Guimaraes B?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.