Prediction: UD Santarem vs Caldas SC
Team pages: UD Santarem · Caldas SC
- Caldas SC0-2UD Santarem
- UD Santarem0-1Caldas SC
- Caldas SC0-1UD Santarem
- UD Santarem0-0Caldas SC
- Caldas SC0-3UD Santarem
- UD Santarem0-1Caldas SC
| UD Santarem | Draw | Caldas SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours UD Santarem: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD Santarem | Caldas SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.8 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Santarem 3–1–2 Caldas SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Caldas SC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | UD Santarem |
| 24/09/25 Portugal Liga 3 | UD Santarem | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Caldas SC |
| 12/04/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Caldas SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UD Santarem |
| 16/03/25 Portugal Liga 3 | UD Santarem | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Caldas SC |
| 15/12/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Caldas SC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | UD Santarem |
| 01/09/24 Portugal Liga 3 | UD Santarem | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Caldas SC |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | UD Oliveirense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | Lusitano GC Evora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Louletano DC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Sporting Covilha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | CD Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 10 | UD Santarem | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UD Santarem | Caldas SC |
|---|---|---|
| CF Os Belenenses | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Sporting Covilha | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Caldas SC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD Santarem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 08/08 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Caldas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Louletano DC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/03 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD Santarem vs Caldas SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Santarem win (42%). Probabilities: UD Santarem 42%, draw 29%, Caldas SC 29%.
How many goals are expected in UD Santarem vs Caldas SC?
The model expects 2.28 goals (UD Santarem 1.27 · Caldas SC 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in UD Santarem vs Caldas SC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.