Football · Canada Northern Super League Women · 18/07, 22:00
Prediction: AFC Toronto (W) vs Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
AFC Toronto (W)2.06
Vancouver Rise FC (W)1.06
1X2
AFC Toronto (W)
Draw
Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Toronto (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Vancouver Rise FC (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Toronto (W)
2–3
Vancouver Rise FC (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Toronto (W) 1474 · Vancouver Rise FC (W) 1488
| AFC Toronto (W) | Draw | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vancouver Rise FC (W): 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Toronto (W) | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.8 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Toronto (W) 2–0–3 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 Canada Northern Super League Women | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | AFC Toronto (W) |
| 23/05/26 Canada Northern Super League Women | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | AFC Toronto (W) |
| 25/04/26 Canada Northern Super League Women | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 2-3 HT 2-1 | AFC Toronto (W) |
| 15/11/25 Canada Northern Super League Women | AFC Toronto (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) |
| 25/07/25 Canada Northern Super League Women | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AFC Toronto (W) |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Toronto (W) | Vancouver Rise FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Rapid FC (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Montreal Roses FC (W) | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Toronto (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/06 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Halifax Tides FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/11 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 25/07 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Vancouver Rise FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | AFC Toronto (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | AFC Toronto (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Toronto (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/11 | AFC Toronto (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 05/11 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Calgary Wild FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Toronto (W) vs Vancouver Rise FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Toronto (W) win (60%). Probabilities: AFC Toronto (W) 60%, draw 23%, Vancouver Rise FC (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Toronto (W) vs Vancouver Rise FC (W)?
The model expects 3.12 goals (AFC Toronto (W) 2.06 · Vancouver Rise FC (W) 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Toronto (W) vs Vancouver Rise FC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.