Football · Canada Northern Super League Women · 11/07, 22:00

Prediction: AFC Toronto (W) vs Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
AFC Toronto (W)1.37
Ottawa Rapid FC (W)1.37
1X2
37% 26% 37%
AFC Toronto (W) Draw Ottawa Rapid FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Toronto (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWDLLDDW
Ottawa Rapid FC (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLWWDW
Head-to-head
AFC Toronto (W) 1–1–0 Ottawa Rapid FC (W) (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Toronto (W) 1511 · Ottawa Rapid FC (W) 1549
AFC Toronto (W)DrawOttawa Rapid FC (W)
Our model36%28%36%
Market38%25%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AFC Toronto (W)Ottawa Rapid FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.21.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 71 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 01.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Toronto (W) 110 Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/06/26
Canada Northern Super League Women
Ottawa Rapid FC (W)1-1
HT 1-1
AFC Toronto (W)
11/07/25
Canada Northern Super League Women
AFC Toronto (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAFC Toronto (W)Ottawa Rapid FC (W)
Vancouver Rise FC (W) 3-1 W 3-1 W
Montreal Roses FC (W) 1-1 D 2-1 W
Halifax Tides FC (W) 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ottawa Rapid FC (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Toronto (W)

WLLWDLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-1 3-1 82 W
21/06 Ottawa Rapid FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-1 1-1 44 D
13/06 Montreal Roses FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-0 1-1 44 D
23/05 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-2 1-2 51 L
10/05 Montreal Roses FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-0 0-1 100 L
03/05 Halifax Tides FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-0 0-0 81 D
25/04 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-2 3-2 74 W
15/11 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-0 1-2 128 L
25/07 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-2 1-2 53 L
15/07 Halifax Tides FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-0 1-0 74 W

Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

LWWWLLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Montreal Roses FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-0 2-1 52 W
21/06 AFC Toronto (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-1 1-1 24 D
14/06 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-1 3-1 32 W
29/05 Halifax Tides FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-0 2-1 40 W
23/05 Montreal Roses FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-2 1-2 30 L
05/11 Vancouver Rise FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-2 1-2 43 L
15/10 Halifax Tides FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
2-0 2-1 12 W
18/09 Calgary Wild FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-1 2-1 03 W
29/08 Halifax Tides FC (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
1-0 5-0 31 W
11/07 AFC Toronto (W)
Canada Northern Super League Women
0-2 0-3 02 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Toronto (W) vs Ottawa Rapid FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Toronto (W) win (37%). Probabilities: AFC Toronto (W) 37%, draw 26%, Ottawa Rapid FC (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Toronto (W) vs Ottawa Rapid FC (W)?

The model expects 2.74 goals (AFC Toronto (W) 1.37 · Ottawa Rapid FC (W) 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Toronto (W) vs Ottawa Rapid FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.