Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 17/10, 12:00

Prediction: UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

Team pages: UKS SMS Lodz (W) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

UKS SMS Lodz (W)1.6

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)1.17

1X2

47% 26% 27%

UKS SMS Lodz (W) Draw Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

UKS SMS Lodz (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDDLLW

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDDDW

Head-to-head

UKS SMS Lodz (W) 5–1–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) (6 last)

UKS SMS Lodz (W)2-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)1-4UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)0-3UKS SMS Lodz (W)
UKS SMS Lodz (W)2-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
UKS SMS Lodz (W)0-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
UKS SMS Lodz (W)1-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1473 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 1450

	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	Draw	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UKS SMS Lodz (W): 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.7	1.1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +9’	1.90	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 5–1–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
20/09/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	1-4 HT 1-2	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
26/04/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
19/03/25 Poland Cup Women	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
05/10/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
16/03/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GKS Katowice (W)	6	5	1	0	21	6	16
2	Gornik Leczna (W)	6	5	0	1	17	5	15
3	Czarni Sosnowiec (W)	5	4	1	0	15	3	13
4	APLG Gdansk (W)	7	4	1	2	11	9	13
5	Pogon Szczecin (W)	7	4	0	3	16	9	12
6	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
7	Legia Warsaw (W)	7	3	0	4	15	19	9
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	7	1	3	3	8	16	6
9	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	6	1	2	3	4	11	5
10	Lech Poznan UAM (W)	6	1	1	4	8	17	4
11	Slask Wroclaw (W)	7	0	3	4	6	15	3
12	Sleza Wroclaw (W)	6	0	1	5	5	16	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Legia Warsaw (W)	2-1 W	1-4 L
Pogon Szczecin (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
APLG Gdansk (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Slask Wroclaw (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
GKS Katowice (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
Lech Poznan UAM (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
AZS UJ Krakow (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UKS SMS Lodz (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UKS SMS Lodz (W)

WDLLLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
26/09	Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
22/08	APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
15/08	Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
08/08	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
31/07	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-2	0-5	4	5	L
30/05	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	2-3	7	0	L
23/05	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
09/05	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
02/05	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-0	7	0	W

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

WLLLLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
27/09	APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
30/08	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-1	0	3	D
22/08	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-3	1-5	3	3	L
09/08	Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-3	1-4	4	3	L
01/08	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-1	1-3	1	2	L
30/05	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
22/05	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
10/05	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	3-1	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UKS SMS Lodz (W) win (47%). Probabilities: UKS SMS Lodz (W) 47%, draw 26%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)?

The model expects 2.77 goals (UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1.6 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 1.17), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.