Prediction: San Antonio FC vs Miami FC
Team pages: San Antonio FC · Miami FC
- San Antonio FC0-0Miami FC
- San Antonio FC1-2Miami FC
- Miami FC2-1San Antonio FC
- San Antonio FC0-1Miami FC
- Miami FC0-2San Antonio FC
| San Antonio FC | Draw | Miami FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Antonio FC (rating 1557 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Miami FC: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Antonio FC | Miami FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC 1–1–3 Miami FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 USA USL Championship | San Antonio FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 13/04/25 USA USL Championship | San Antonio FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Miami FC |
| 28/04/24 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | San Antonio FC |
| 23/07/23 USA USL Championship | San Antonio FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Miami FC |
| 15/05/22 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | San Antonio FC |
Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 7
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting JAX | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Antonio FC | Miami FC |
|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Antonio FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 25/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Tulsa USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 28/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | D |
Miami FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 23/07 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/07 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/06 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC vs Miami FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC win (52%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC 52%, draw 26%, Miami FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC vs Miami FC?
The model expects 2.98 goals (San Antonio FC 1.82 · Miami FC 1.16), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Antonio FC vs Miami FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.