Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 14/08, 00:00

Prediction: CE Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS

Team pages: CE Bento Goncalves · Santa Cruz RS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

CE Bento Goncalves0.98

Santa Cruz RS0.71

1X2

41% 32% 26%

CE Bento Goncalves Draw Santa Cruz RS

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CE Bento Goncalves 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLLDDW

Santa Cruz RS 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDDDLDDW

Head-to-head

CE Bento Goncalves 1–2–0 Santa Cruz RS (3 last)

CE Bento Goncalves1-1Santa Cruz RS
Santa Cruz RS0-0CE Bento Goncalves
CE Bento Goncalves1-0Santa Cruz RS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE Bento Goncalves 1533 · Santa Cruz RS 1511

	CE Bento Goncalves	Draw	Santa Cruz RS
Our model	39%	36%	24%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE Bento Goncalves	Santa Cruz RS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.1	1.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.8	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:27 +1’	2.10	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Bento Goncalves 1–2–0 Santa Cruz RS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 HT 1-1	Santa Cruz RS
26/06/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Santa Cruz RS	0-0 HT 0-0	CE Bento Goncalves
19/06/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	1-0 HT 1-0	Santa Cruz RS

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Pelotas	3	2	1	0	3	1	7
2	Passo Fundo	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
3	Uniao Frederiquense	3	2	0	1	5	1	6
4	Brasil de Pelotas	3	1	2	0	3	1	5
5	Aimore RS	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
5	CE Bento Goncalves	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
5	Santa Cruz RS	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
8	Veranopolis	3	1	2	0	1	0	5
9	APAFUT	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
10	GE Bage	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
11	Gramadense	3	1	0	2	1	3	3
12	Brasil de Farroupilha	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
13	Guarani de Venancio Aires	3	0	2	1	0	2	2
14	Sport Clube Gaucho	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
15	GE Gloria	3	0	1	2	0	2	1
16	Lajeadense	3	0	0	3	0	4	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE Bento Goncalves	Santa Cruz RS
Aimore RS	0-1 L	1-1 D
Brasil de Pelotas	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CE Bento Goncalves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/08	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
01/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
16/11	Aimore RS Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
12/11	Aimore RS Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
09/11	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-0	1-1	0	2	D
01/11	EC Juventude II Brazil Copa Gaucho	2-1	3-1	3	8	W
25/10	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Copa Gaucho	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
18/10	Internacional B Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/10	Internacional B Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-0	3-0	8	8	W

Santa Cruz RS

DWDDDDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	2	13	W
06/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
01/08	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
05/07	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
27/06	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
17/06	Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho	2-2	2-2	7	5	D
14/06	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
08/06	Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
30/05	Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
23/05	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho	1-0	1-1	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CE Bento Goncalves win (41%). Probabilities: CE Bento Goncalves 41%, draw 32%, Santa Cruz RS 26%.

How many goals are expected in CE Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS?

The model expects 1.69 goals (CE Bento Goncalves 0.98 · Santa Cruz RS 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CE Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.