Prediction: Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Sport Clube Gaucho

Team pages: Guarani de Venancio Aires · Sport Clube Gaucho

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.7Total
Guarani de Venancio Aires0.91
Sport Clube Gaucho0.79
1X2
37% 33% 30%
Guarani de Venancio Aires Draw Sport Clube Gaucho
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Guarani de Venancio Aires 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
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Sport Clube Gaucho 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guarani de Venancio Aires 1561 · Sport Clube Gaucho 1519
Guarani de Venancio AiresDrawSport Clube Gaucho
Our model35%37%28%
Market39%30%32%
Estimated total (ours) 1.7 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guarani de Venancio Aires (rating 1561 vs 1519).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guarani de Venancio AiresSport Clube Gaucho
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.60.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.20.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.41.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.44.6 / 0.6

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Veranopolis 4220 408
2 APAFUT 5221 638
3 Passo Fundo 4220 208
4 Aimore RS 5221 458
5 Uniao Frederiquense 4211 517
6 EC Pelotas 4211 337
7 Brasil de Pelotas 4130 426
8 CE Bento Goncalves 4130 216
8 Santa Cruz RS 4130 216
10 Brasil de Farroupilha 4121 325
11 Guarani de Venancio Aires 4121 235
12 Sport Clube Gaucho 4112 334
13 Gramadense 4112 244
14 GE Bage 5113 494
15 GE Gloria 5023 252
16 Lajeadense 4004 170

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuarani de Venancio AiresSport Clube Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas 0-2 L 1-1 D
CE Bento Goncalves 0-0 D 1-1 D
APAFUT 3-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guarani de Venancio Aires

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 GE Gloria
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-0 2-1 W
09/08 Veranopolis
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-0 0-0 74 D
07/08 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 0-2 25 L
01/08 CE Bento Goncalves
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
07/12 APAFUT
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3
1-0 3-1 28 W
04/12 APAFUT
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3
0-0 0-0 84 D
30/11 Rio Grande
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3
2-0 4-0 64 W
23/11 Rio Grande
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3
0-0 2-0 W
09/11 APAFUT
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3
2-1 4-2 46 W
05/11 Clube 1992
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 3
0-0 3-0 41 W

Sport Clube Gaucho

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 EC Pelotas
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
1-0 2-0 W
09/08 APAFUT
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 0-1 56 L
07/08 Gramadense
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 0-1 L
02/08 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 1-1 35 D
23/11 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 0-0 D
20/11 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 1-1 47 D
09/11 EC Juventude II
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 2-0 52 W
25/10 CE Bento Goncalves
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 1-1 46 D
19/10 EC Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 23 W
08/10 Internacional B
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Sport Clube Gaucho?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guarani de Venancio Aires win (37%). Probabilities: Guarani de Venancio Aires 37%, draw 33%, Sport Clube Gaucho 30%.

How many goals are expected in Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Sport Clube Gaucho?

The model expects 1.7 goals (Guarani de Venancio Aires 0.91 · Sport Clube Gaucho 0.79), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guarani de Venancio Aires vs Sport Clube Gaucho?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.