Prediction: Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense

Team pages: Santa Cruz RS · Gramadense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.63Total
Santa Cruz RS0.95
Gramadense0.68
1X2
41% 34% 25%
Santa Cruz RS Draw Gramadense
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 50% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Cruz RS 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
WDDDDLDDWD
Gramadense 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLWLLWLD
Head-to-head
Santa Cruz RS 1–2–0 Gramadense (3 last)
  • Santa Cruz RS2-2Gramadense
  • Gramadense1-2Santa Cruz RS
  • Santa Cruz RS1-1Gramadense
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Cruz RS 1523 · Gramadense 1498
Santa Cruz RSDrawGramadense
Our model39%37%24%
Market42%32%26%
Estimated total (ours) 1.63 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santa Cruz RSGramadense
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.80.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.62 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.15.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Cruz RS 120 Gramadense

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/06/26
Brazil Copa Gaucho
Santa Cruz RS2-2
HT 2-2
Gramadense
13/05/26
Brazil Copa Gaucho
Gramadense1-2
HT 1-0
Santa Cruz RS
17/07/25
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS1-1
HT 0-0
Gramadense

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Veranopolis 4220 408
2 APAFUT 5221 638
3 Passo Fundo 4220 208
4 Aimore RS 5221 458
5 Uniao Frederiquense 4211 517
6 EC Pelotas 4211 337
7 Brasil de Pelotas 4130 426
8 CE Bento Goncalves 4130 216
8 Santa Cruz RS 4130 216
10 Brasil de Farroupilha 4121 325
11 Guarani de Venancio Aires 4121 235
12 Sport Clube Gaucho 4112 334
13 Gramadense 4112 244
14 GE Bage 5113 494
15 GE Gloria 5023 252
16 Lajeadense 4004 170

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSanta Cruz RSGramadense
Brasil de Pelotas 0-1 L 1-1 D
Monsoon 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gramadense (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Cruz RS

WDDDDLDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 CE Bento Goncalves
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-0 0-0 73 D
08/08 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-0 1-0 213 W
06/08 Aimore RS
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 1-1 42 D
01/08 GE Gloria
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-0 0-0 66 D
05/07 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 0-1 29 L
27/06 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-1 13 D
17/06 Gramadense
Brazil Copa Gaucho
2-2 2-2 75 D
14/06 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-1 23 D
08/06 Monsoon
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 1-1 24 D
30/05 Monsoon
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-1 3-1 34 W

Gramadense

WDWLWLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 1-1 83 D
09/08 Uniao Frederiquense
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 0-2 L
07/08 Sport Clube Gaucho
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
1-0 1-0 W
01/08 Veranopolis
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-1 0-1 115 L
24/07 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 1-2 16 L
12/07 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 25 W
05/07 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 0-1 54 L
27/06 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 18 W
17/06 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
2-2 2-2 25 D
11/06 Monsoon
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-0 59 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Cruz RS win (41%). Probabilities: Santa Cruz RS 41%, draw 34%, Gramadense 25%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?

The model expects 1.63 goals (Santa Cruz RS 0.95 · Gramadense 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.