Prediction: Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense
Team pages: Brasil de Pelotas · Gramadense
- Brasil de Pelotas2-1Gramadense
- Gramadense1-0Brasil de Pelotas
| Brasil de Pelotas | Draw | Gramadense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 33% | 15% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brasil de Pelotas (rating 1568 vs 1503).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brasil de Pelotas | Gramadense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.9 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brasil de Pelotas 1–0–1 Gramadense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Brazil Copa Gaucho | Brasil de Pelotas | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gramadense |
| 12/07/26 Brazil Copa Gaucho | Gramadense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brasil de Pelotas |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Pelotas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Passo Fundo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Uniao Frederiquense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Brasil de Pelotas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Aimore RS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | CE Bento Goncalves | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz RS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Veranopolis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | APAFUT | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | GE Bage | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Gramadense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Guarani de Venancio Aires | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Sport Clube Gaucho | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | GE Gloria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Lajeadense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brasil de Pelotas | Gramadense |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Clube Gaucho | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Santa Cruz RS | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Brasil de Farroupilha | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Brasil de Pelotas (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brasil de Pelotas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Passo Fundo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/08 | Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 9 | W |
| 27/06 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
3-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Gramadense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | GE Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | GE Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/06 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brasil de Pelotas win (54%). Probabilities: Brasil de Pelotas 54%, draw 29%, Gramadense 17%.
How many goals are expected in Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Brasil de Pelotas 1.23 · Gramadense 0.53), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.