Football · Germany Regionalliga South West · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: SGV Freiberg vs SG Barockstadt

Team pages: SG Barockstadt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

SGV Freiberg2.5

SG Barockstadt0.97

1X2

70% 18% 12%

SGV Freiberg Draw SG Barockstadt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SGV Freiberg 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWWDDW

SG Barockstadt 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

SGV Freiberg 2–2–2 SG Barockstadt (6 last)

SG Barockstadt0-2SGV Freiberg
SGV Freiberg1-1SG Barockstadt
SG Barockstadt1-2SGV Freiberg
SGV Freiberg1-1SG Barockstadt
SG Barockstadt1-0SGV Freiberg
SGV Freiberg0-4SG Barockstadt

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SGV Freiberg (rating 1573 vs 1399).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SGV Freiberg	SG Barockstadt
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.99

Under 3.251.81

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.54 → 1.54	Pinn 1.54
X	4.23 → 4.23	Pinn 4.23
2	4.83 → 4.83	Pinn 4.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +97’	1.54	4.23	4.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SGV Freiberg 2–2–2 SG Barockstadt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	0-2 HT 0-1	SGV Freiberg
01/11/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	1-1 HT 1-1	SG Barockstadt
22/03/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	1-2 HT 0-2	SGV Freiberg
14/09/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	1-1 HT 0-1	SG Barockstadt
24/02/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	1-0 HT 1-0	SGV Freiberg
19/08/23 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	0-4 HT 0-2	SG Barockstadt

Standings · Germany Regionalliga South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SGV Freiberg	11	6	5	0	28	12	23
2	VfR Aalen	11	6	3	2	20	11	21
3	VfR Mannheim	11	5	5	1	17	9	20
4	Kickers Offenbach	11	6	2	3	22	15	20
5	Stuttgarter Kickers	11	6	2	3	19	15	20
6	Freiburg II	10	4	4	2	19	13	16
7	TSV Steinbach	11	4	4	3	19	15	16
8	FC 08 Homburg	11	4	4	3	15	15	16
9	Sandhausen	11	4	4	3	19	21	16
10	Eintracht Trier	11	5	1	5	11	15	16
11	Hessen Kassel	11	4	2	5	20	21	14
12	FSV Frankfurt	11	3	4	4	17	18	13
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	11	2	4	5	16	19	10
14	Eintracht Frankfurt II	10	3	1	6	11	14	10
15	Mainz II	11	3	1	7	11	22	10
16	Kaiserslautern II	11	2	4	5	11	23	10
17	SSV Ulm 1846	11	1	5	5	14	21	8
18	SG Barockstadt	11	1	3	7	14	24	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SGV Freiberg	SG Barockstadt
Freiburg II	2-1 W	2-3 L
Stuttgarter Kickers	2-2 D	1-2 L
VfR Aalen	3-2 W	0-2 L
Sandhausen	0-0 D	3-4 L
SSV Ulm 1846	4-4 D	2-2 D
Eintracht Frankfurt II	2-1 W	1-2 L
VfR Mannheim	0-0 D	1-5 L
FC 08 Homburg	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: SGV Freiberg (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SGV Freiberg

WDWDDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/09	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/09	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	2-1	4-4	–	–	D
29/08	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	FC 08 Homburg Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

SG Barockstadt

LDDLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	FC 08 Homburg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
19/09	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/09	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
28/08	FSV Frankfurt Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	1-4	3-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SGV Freiberg vs SG Barockstadt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SGV Freiberg win (70%). Probabilities: SGV Freiberg 70%, draw 18%, SG Barockstadt 12%.

How many goals are expected in SGV Freiberg vs SG Barockstadt?

The model expects 3.47 goals (SGV Freiberg 2.5 · SG Barockstadt 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SGV Freiberg vs SG Barockstadt?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.