Football · Germany Regionalliga South West · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: SG Barockstadt vs Mainz II

Team pages: SG Barockstadt · Mainz II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

SG Barockstadt1.61

Mainz II1.34

1X2

43% 27% 31%

SG Barockstadt Draw Mainz II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SG Barockstadt 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLLDLL

Mainz II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLDD

Head-to-head

SG Barockstadt 5–1–0 Mainz II (6 last)

SG Barockstadt2-1Mainz II
Mainz II2-2SG Barockstadt
Mainz II0-1SG Barockstadt
SG Barockstadt1-0Mainz II
Mainz II2-3SG Barockstadt
SG Barockstadt2-1Mainz II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SG Barockstadt: 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SG Barockstadt	Mainz II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.60
X	3.32 → 3.32	Pinn 3.32
2	2.46 → 2.46	Pinn 2.46

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +17’	2.60	3.32	2.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SG Barockstadt 5–1–0 Mainz II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	2-1 HT 0-0	Mainz II
06/09/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	Mainz II	2-2 HT 0-0	SG Barockstadt
27/04/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	Mainz II	0-1 HT 0-1	SG Barockstadt
26/10/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	1-0 HT 1-0	Mainz II
23/03/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	Mainz II	2-3 HT 2-1	SG Barockstadt
16/09/23 Germany Regionalliga South West	SG Barockstadt	2-1 HT 1-1	Mainz II

Standings · Germany Regionalliga South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SGV Freiberg	12	7	5	0	31	12	26
2	VfR Aalen	12	7	3	2	22	11	24
3	VfR Mannheim	12	6	5	1	20	9	23
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	12	7	2	3	22	16	23
5	Kickers Offenbach	12	6	2	4	22	16	20
6	FC 08 Homburg	12	5	4	3	17	16	19
7	Sandhausen	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
8	Eintracht Trier	12	6	1	5	14	17	19
9	Freiburg II	11	4	4	3	20	15	16
10	TSV Steinbach	12	4	4	4	20	18	16
11	Hessen Kassel	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	FSV Frankfurt	12	3	4	5	19	21	13
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	11	4	1	6	13	15	13
14	Mainz II	12	3	2	7	12	23	11
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	12	2	4	6	16	21	10
16	Kaiserslautern II	12	2	4	6	12	25	10
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	1	6	5	15	22	9
18	SG Barockstadt	12	1	3	8	14	27	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SG Barockstadt	Mainz II
SGV Freiberg	0-3 L	0-5 L
VfR Aalen	0-2 L	1-3 L
VfR Mannheim	1-5 L	1-2 L
Freiburg II	2-3 L	0-2 L
Stuttgarter Kickers	1-2 L	2-1 W
Kaiserslautern II	0-1 L	0-1 L
SSV Ulm 1846	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SG Barockstadt

DDLLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SGV Freiberg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	FC 08 Homburg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
19/09	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/09	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
28/08	FSV Frankfurt Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Mainz II

LLWLLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	FC Astoria Walldorf Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	SGV Freiberg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-5	–	–	L
09/09	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
30/08	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Kickers Offenbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SG Barockstadt vs Mainz II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SG Barockstadt win (43%). Probabilities: SG Barockstadt 43%, draw 27%, Mainz II 31%.

How many goals are expected in SG Barockstadt vs Mainz II?

The model expects 2.95 goals (SG Barockstadt 1.61 · Mainz II 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SG Barockstadt vs Mainz II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.