Football · Germany Regionalliga South West · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg

Team pages: Kickers Offenbach · SGV Freiberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Kickers Offenbach1.46

SGV Freiberg1.66

1X2

33% 26% 42%

Kickers Offenbach Draw SGV Freiberg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kickers Offenbach 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWLLDL

SGV Freiberg 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWDDWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Kickers Offenbach 1–2–3 SGV Freiberg (6 last)

SGV Freiberg2-0Kickers Offenbach
Kickers Offenbach2-5SGV Freiberg
Kickers Offenbach0-2SGV Freiberg
SGV Freiberg0-0Kickers Offenbach
SGV Freiberg2-2Kickers Offenbach
Kickers Offenbach2-0SGV Freiberg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SGV Freiberg (rating 1486 vs 1572).
H2H favours SGV Freiberg: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kickers Offenbach	SGV Freiberg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.91

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.06 → 2.93▼	Pinn 2.93
X	3.59 → 3.66▲	Pinn 3.66
2	2.05 → 2.09▲	Pinn 2.09

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +74’	3.06	3.59	2.05
21:10 +23’	2.93▼	3.66▲	2.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kickers Offenbach 1–2–3 SGV Freiberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	2-0 HT 0-0	Kickers Offenbach
20/09/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	Kickers Offenbach	2-5 HT 1-2	SGV Freiberg
06/12/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	Kickers Offenbach	0-2 HT 0-1	SGV Freiberg
10/08/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	0-0 HT 0-0	Kickers Offenbach
06/04/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	2-2 HT 0-2	Kickers Offenbach
03/10/23 Germany Regionalliga South West	Kickers Offenbach	2-0 HT 1-0	SGV Freiberg

Standings · Germany Regionalliga South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SGV Freiberg	12	7	5	0	31	12	26
2	VfR Aalen	12	7	3	2	22	11	24
3	VfR Mannheim	12	6	5	1	20	9	23
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	12	7	2	3	22	16	23
5	Kickers Offenbach	12	6	2	4	22	16	20
6	FC 08 Homburg	12	5	4	3	17	16	19
7	Sandhausen	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
8	Eintracht Trier	12	6	1	5	14	17	19
9	Freiburg II	11	4	4	3	20	15	16
10	TSV Steinbach	12	4	4	4	20	18	16
11	Hessen Kassel	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	FSV Frankfurt	12	3	4	5	19	21	13
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	11	4	1	6	13	15	13
14	Mainz II	12	3	2	7	12	23	11
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	12	2	4	6	16	21	10
16	Kaiserslautern II	12	2	4	6	12	25	10
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	1	6	5	15	22	9
18	SG Barockstadt	12	1	3	8	14	27	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kickers Offenbach	SGV Freiberg
Sandhausen	0-1 L	0-0 D
Stuttgarter Kickers	0-2 L	2-2 D
VfR Aalen	1-3 L	3-2 W
TSV Steinbach	3-2 W	2-2 D
Mainz II	3-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SGV Freiberg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kickers Offenbach

WWDWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
09/10	FC 08 Homburg Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
02/10	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
18/09	Eintracht Trier Germany Regionalliga South West	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
08/09	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	FSV Frankfurt Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	4-0	4-0	–	–	W
22/08	Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

SGV Freiberg

DWDDWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SG Barockstadt Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/10	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/09	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/09	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	2-1	4-4	–	–	D
29/08	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SGV Freiberg win (42%). Probabilities: Kickers Offenbach 33%, draw 26%, SGV Freiberg 42%.

How many goals are expected in Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Kickers Offenbach 1.46 · SGV Freiberg 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.