Football · Albania Championship · 21/08, 21:00
Prediction: Vllaznia Shkoder vs Skenderbeu Korce
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Vllaznia Shkoder1.61
Skenderbeu Korce0.71
1X2
Vllaznia Shkoder
Draw
Skenderbeu Korce
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Vllaznia Shkoder
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Skenderbeu Korce
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vllaznia Shkoder
2–4
Skenderbeu Korce
(6 last)
- Vllaznia Shkoder1-2Skenderbeu Korce
- Skenderbeu Korce0-4Vllaznia Shkoder
- Vllaznia Shkoder2-0Skenderbeu Korce
- Skenderbeu Korce1-0Vllaznia Shkoder
- Skenderbeu Korce3-2Vllaznia Shkoder
- Vllaznia Shkoder1-5Skenderbeu Korce
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vllaznia Shkoder 1472 · Skenderbeu Korce 1556
| Vllaznia Shkoder | Draw | Skenderbeu Korce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 21% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skenderbeu Korce (rating 1472 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Skenderbeu Korce: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vllaznia Shkoder | Skenderbeu Korce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.6 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vllaznia Shkoder 2–0–4 Skenderbeu Korce
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 Albania Championship | Vllaznia Shkoder | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Skenderbeu Korce |
| 19/01/25 Albania Championship | Skenderbeu Korce | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Vllaznia Shkoder |
| 03/11/24 Albania Championship | Vllaznia Shkoder | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Skenderbeu Korce |
| 31/08/24 Albania Championship | Skenderbeu Korce | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vllaznia Shkoder |
| 24/05/24 Albania Championship | Skenderbeu Korce | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Vllaznia Shkoder |
| 11/05/24 Albania Championship | Vllaznia Shkoder | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Skenderbeu Korce |
Standings · Albania Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AF Elbasani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Dinamo City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Vora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Egnatia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Laci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Teuta Durres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KF Tirana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partizani Tirana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Skenderbeu Korce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vllaznia Shkoder | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vllaznia Shkoder | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Laci | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| AF Elbasani | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vllaznia Shkoder
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Laci Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Malisheva UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/07 | Malisheva UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/07 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/06 | FC Arges Pitesti Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Koper Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Decic Tuzi Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | AF Elbasani Albania Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Skenderbeu Korce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | Laci Albania First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Pogradeci Albania First Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Kastrioti Krujë Albania First Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | KS Burreli Albania First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje Albania First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 11 | W |
| 28/03 | AF Elbasani Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Besa Kavaje Albania First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/03 | KS Korabi Peshkopi Albania First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Apolonia Fier Albania First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | KS Lushnja Albania First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vllaznia Shkoder vs Skenderbeu Korce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vllaznia Shkoder win (59%). Probabilities: Vllaznia Shkoder 59%, draw 24%, Skenderbeu Korce 17%.
How many goals are expected in Vllaznia Shkoder vs Skenderbeu Korce?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Vllaznia Shkoder 1.61 · Skenderbeu Korce 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vllaznia Shkoder vs Skenderbeu Korce?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.