Football · Albania Championship · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Partizani Tirana vs Teuta Durres

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Partizani Tirana1.25

Teuta Durres1.01

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Partizani Tirana Draw Teuta Durres

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Partizani Tirana 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Teuta Durres 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Partizani Tirana 3–3–0 Teuta Durres (6 last)

Teuta Durres2-2Partizani Tirana
Partizani Tirana2-1Teuta Durres
Teuta Durres2-3Partizani Tirana
Partizani Tirana0-0Teuta Durres
Partizani Tirana0-0Teuta Durres
Teuta Durres0-2Partizani Tirana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partizani Tirana 1491 · Teuta Durres 1445

	Partizani Tirana	Draw	Teuta Durres
Our model	40%	31%	29%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizani Tirana (rating 1491 vs 1445).
H2H favours Partizani Tirana: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Partizani Tirana	Teuta Durres
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	0.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	1.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +2’	2.15	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Partizani Tirana 3–3–0 Teuta Durres

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Albania Championship	Teuta Durres	2-2 HT 1-1	Partizani Tirana
19/01/26 Albania Championship	Partizani Tirana	2-1 HT 1-0	Teuta Durres
09/11/25 Albania Championship	Teuta Durres	2-3 HT 2-0	Partizani Tirana
30/08/25 Albania Championship	Partizani Tirana	0-0 HT 0-0	Teuta Durres
16/03/25 Albania Championship	Partizani Tirana	0-0 HT 0-0	Teuta Durres
19/01/25 Albania Championship	Teuta Durres	0-2 HT 0-0	Partizani Tirana

Standings · Albania Championship

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AF Elbasani	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Dinamo City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Vora	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Egnatia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Laci	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Teuta Durres	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KF Tirana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Partizani Tirana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skenderbeu Korce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vllaznia Shkoder	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Partizani Tirana	Teuta Durres
AF Elbasani	3-1 W	1-2 L
FK Egnatia	0-2 L	3-2 W
KS Flamurtari Vlore	1-4 L	1-1 D
KF Tirana	1-2 L	0-1 L
Bylis Ballsh	1-1 D	0-2 L
Vllaznia Shkoder	0-2 L	0-1 L
Laci	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Partizani Tirana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	AF Elbasani Club Friendly List	1-0	3-1	1	1	W
10/05	FC Dinamo City Albania Championship	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
06/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
02/05	KS Flamurtari Vlore Albania Championship	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
25/04	KF Tirana Albania Championship	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/04	Bylis Ballsh Albania Championship	1-1	1-1	7	9	D
13/04	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	0-0	0-3	5	7	L
04/04	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
27/03	Laci Club Friendly List	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
21/03	Teuta Durres Albania Championship	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Teuta Durres

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Laci Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
10/07	Ludogorets Razgrad Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
16/05	Pogradeci Albania Championship Play-Offs	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/05	FK Egnatia Albania Championship	1-1	3-2	8	1	W
06/05	KS Flamurtari Vlore Albania Championship	0-1	1-1	3	11	D
02/05	KF Tirana Albania Championship	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
26/04	Bylis Ballsh Albania Championship	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	AF Elbasani Albania Championship	1-0	1-2	2	0	L
12/04	Vllaznia Shkoder Albania Championship	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
05/04	FK Vora Albania Championship	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partizani Tirana vs Teuta Durres?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partizani Tirana win (41%). Probabilities: Partizani Tirana 41%, draw 30%, Teuta Durres 29%.

How many goals are expected in Partizani Tirana vs Teuta Durres?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Partizani Tirana 1.25 · Teuta Durres 1.01), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Partizani Tirana vs Teuta Durres?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.