Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 19/07, 15:00

Prediction: Dynamos FC vs Simba Bhora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Dynamos FC1.52

Simba Bhora0.75

1X2

54% 29% 17%

Dynamos FC Draw Simba Bhora

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Dynamos FC 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWDDWW

Simba Bhora 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLWWLLDW

Head-to-head

Dynamos FC 2–2–2 Simba Bhora (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dynamos FC 1566 · Simba Bhora 1482

	Dynamos FC	Draw	Simba Bhora
Our model	54%	28%	17%
Market	53%	30%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dynamos FC (rating 1566 vs 1482).
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dynamos FC	Simba Bhora
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 1 · xG: 2.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:06 +8’	1.70	3.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dynamos FC 2–2–2 Simba Bhora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Simba Bhora	0-1	Dynamos FC
19/07/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Simba Bhora	1-0	Dynamos FC
30/03/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Dynamos FC	1-0	Simba Bhora
10/08/24 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Dynamos FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Simba Bhora
14/04/24 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Simba Bhora	1-0	Dynamos FC
27/08/23 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Dynamos FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Simba Bhora

Standings · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Scottland FC Mabvuku	22	14	7	1	37	6	49
2	Hardrock FC	22	12	6	4	36	14	42
3	Dynamos FC	22	10	10	2	35	18	40
4	Ngezi Platinum FC	22	9	10	3	27	20	37
5	CAPS United	22	9	9	4	26	20	36
6	Herentals FC	22	10	6	6	25	21	36
7	Highlanders FC	22	7	13	2	20	14	34
8	Simba Bhora	22	8	7	7	23	21	31
9	FC Platinum	22	5	13	4	15	16	28
10	MWOS FC	22	6	9	7	18	18	27
11	Chicken Inn FC	22	7	6	9	16	20	27
12	Bulawayo Chiefs FC	22	5	9	8	19	25	24
13	ZPC Kariba FC	22	3	12	7	14	20	21
14	FC Hunters	22	3	12	7	18	29	21
15	Agama FC	22	4	7	11	14	29	19
16	Telone FC	22	3	8	11	16	30	17
17	Manica Diamonds FC	22	3	7	12	13	34	16
18	Triangle United	22	2	5	15	13	30	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dynamos FC	Simba Bhora
Bulawayo Chiefs FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Highlanders FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Telone FC	3-0 W	1-2 L
FC Hunters	2-2 D	1-2 L
Manica Diamonds FC	2-2 D	3-0 W
Ngezi Platinum FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Triangle United	3-0 W	1-1 D
Herentals FC	2-2 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dynamos FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dynamos FC

DWWDDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/07	Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	3-0	4-0	5	2	W
28/06	Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
21/06	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
13/06	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
10/06	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
07/06	Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-2	–	–	D
30/05	Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
17/05	Triangle United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
14/05	Herentals FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D

Simba Bhora

DLDLWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/07	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
27/06	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-2	–	–	L
20/06	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/06	Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/06	Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-0	–	–	W
07/06	Hardrock FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/05	Triangle United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Herentals FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	1-4	3	6	L
16/05	CAPS United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dynamos FC vs Simba Bhora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dynamos FC win (54%). Probabilities: Dynamos FC 54%, draw 29%, Simba Bhora 17%.

How many goals are expected in Dynamos FC vs Simba Bhora?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Dynamos FC 1.52 · Simba Bhora 0.75), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dynamos FC vs Simba Bhora?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.