Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 22/07, 15:00

Prediction: Scottland FC Mabvuku vs Bulawayo Chiefs FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Scottland FC Mabvuku1.78

Bulawayo Chiefs FC0.49

1X2

68% 22% 9%

Scottland FC Mabvuku Draw Bulawayo Chiefs FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Scottland FC Mabvuku 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWL

Bulawayo Chiefs FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Scottland FC Mabvuku 0–1–0 Bulawayo Chiefs FC (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scottland FC Mabvuku 1603 · Bulawayo Chiefs FC 1458

	Scottland FC Mabvuku	Draw	Bulawayo Chiefs FC
Our model	68%	23%	9%
Market	69%	22%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scottland FC Mabvuku (rating 1603 vs 1458).
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Scottland FC Mabvuku	Bulawayo Chiefs FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.1	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	78/11/11%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.10

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +2’	1.30	4.10	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Scottland FC Mabvuku 0–1–0 Bulawayo Chiefs FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Bulawayo Chiefs FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Scottland FC Mabvuku

Standings · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Scottland FC Mabvuku	23	14	7	2	37	7	49
2	Hardrock FC	23	12	6	5	37	16	42
3	Dynamos FC	23	10	11	2	35	18	41
4	Ngezi Platinum FC	23	10	10	3	28	20	40
5	CAPS United	23	10	9	4	28	20	39
6	Highlanders FC	23	8	13	2	21	14	37
7	Herentals FC	23	10	6	7	25	22	36
8	Simba Bhora	23	8	8	7	23	21	32
9	FC Platinum	23	6	13	4	16	16	31
10	MWOS FC	23	7	9	7	19	18	30
11	Chicken Inn FC	23	8	6	9	17	20	30
12	ZPC Kariba FC	23	4	12	7	15	20	24
13	Bulawayo Chiefs FC	23	5	9	9	19	26	24
14	FC Hunters	23	3	12	8	18	30	21
15	Agama FC	23	4	7	12	14	30	19
16	Telone FC	23	3	8	12	16	31	17
17	Manica Diamonds FC	23	3	7	13	13	36	16
18	Triangle United	23	3	5	15	15	31	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Scottland FC Mabvuku	Bulawayo Chiefs FC
Highlanders FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Telone FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC Hunters	3-0 W	1-3 L
Manica Diamonds FC	5-0 W	0-0 D
Ngezi Platinum FC	2-0 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Scottland FC Mabvuku (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scottland FC Mabvuku

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
10/07	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
26/06	Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	3-0	5-0	4	1	W
20/06	Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
14/06	Hardrock FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
11/06	Triangle United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
06/06	Herentals FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
31/05	CAPS United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	2-0	7	1	W

Bulawayo Chiefs FC

LDLDLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
11/07	Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
28/06	Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
20/06	Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/06	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-1	1-2	1	5	L
09/06	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
05/06	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	1-3	3	0	L
01/06	Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
23/05	Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scottland FC Mabvuku vs Bulawayo Chiefs FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Scottland FC Mabvuku win (68%). Probabilities: Scottland FC Mabvuku 68%, draw 22%, Bulawayo Chiefs FC 9%.

How many goals are expected in Scottland FC Mabvuku vs Bulawayo Chiefs FC?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Scottland FC Mabvuku 1.78 · Bulawayo Chiefs FC 0.49), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Scottland FC Mabvuku vs Bulawayo Chiefs FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.